The Brasileirão Betano is set to witness an exciting encounter between Corinthians and Atlético Mineiro, with the match scheduled to take place on October 18, 2025, at 22:30 Great Britain time. This fixture promises to be a closely contested affair, given the recent form and tendencies of both teams.
Corinthians, the home team, have experienced a mixed run of form in their last five matches, securing one win, one draw, and three losses. Notably, they suffered a 1-3 defeat at the hands of Santos in their most recent outing. Despite this, they have shown glimpses of strong performances, such as their 3-0 victory over Mirassol. The team’s average expected goals for (xG) per match stands at approximately 0.98, while their average xG against is around 1.12. Key players like Matheuzinho, who has scored two goals and provided three assists, and Breno Bidon, with one goal and one assist, will be crucial to their team’s chances.
On the other hand, Atlético Mineiro have also had their share of ups and downs, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games. They recently drew 1-1 with Cruzeiro, showcasing their ability to compete against tough opponents. The away team’s average xG per match is around 1.09, while their average xG against is approximately 1.23. Hulk, with four goals and three assists, and Gustavo Scarpa, who has one goal and two assists, are among the key players who could make a significant impact for Atlético Mineiro.
From a tactical perspective, both teams have distinct set piece profiles. Corinthians average around 4.4 corners for per match, while conceding an average of five corners against. In contrast, Atlético Mineiro average approximately 3.6 corners for and 5.2 corners against per game. These statistics suggest that set pieces could play a crucial role in the outcome of the match, with both teams potentially exploiting each other’s vulnerabilities in this area.
The expected lineups for both teams indicate a 4-3-1-2 formation for Corinthians, with core starters including Felipe Longo in goal, Matheuzinho and Cacá in defense, and Yuri Alberto and Memphis Depay up front. Atlético Mineiro, on the other hand, are expected to adopt a 3-4-2-1 formation, with Everson in goal, Renzo Saravia and Junior Alonso in defense, and Rony leading the attack.
In terms of betting, the current odds for the match are 1.85 for a Corinthians win, 3.4 for a draw, and 4.5 for an Atlético Mineiro victory. The total goals line is set at 2.5, with the over priced at 2.5 and the under at 1.5. Based on the predicted scorelines, a 2-1 win for Corinthians is considered a plausible outcome, with a probability of around 8.26%. However, it is essential to note that these predictions are based on statistical models and should not be taken as investment advice.
As the match approaches, it will be interesting to see how both teams adapt to each other’s strengths and weaknesses. The low-event lean and modest xG total suggest that the first goal may indeed be decisive, making for a thrilling and potentially closely contested encounter between Corinthians and Atlético Mineiro.
Corinthians vs Atlético Mineiro Betting Tips
Bet365 offers the best odds for this punt.
Corinthians & Atlético Mineiro Current Form
- Atlético Mineiro has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 3 games.
- 5 of Atlético Mineiro's last 7 games have had under 2.5 goals.
- 5 of Corinthians's last 7 games saw them score first.
- 10 of Corinthians and Atlético Mineiro's last 10 games have had over 4.5 cards.
- 6 of Corinthians's last 7 games have had under 10.5 corners.
Corinthians Last 10 Matches
Atlético Mineiro Last 10 Matches
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Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro Odds
| Final Result | |||||
| 1 | 2 | X | 3.25 | 2 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X | 1.22 | X2 | 1.8 | 12 | 1.33 |
| HT 1 | 2.75 | HT X | 1.95 | HT 2 | 5 |
| Goals Market | |||||
| BTTS: Yes | 2.2 | BTTS: No | 1.62 | ||
| Over 1.5 | 1.53 | Under 1.5 | 2.5 | ||
| Over 2.5 | 2.6 | Under 2.5 | 1.48 | ||
| Over 3.5 | 5 | Under 3.5 | 1.17 | ||
| Over 4.5 | 11 | Under 4.5 | 1.05 | ||