Finland vs Lithuania Prediction (09 Oct 2025)

Finland vs Lithuania Prediction
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The World Cup Qualifiers in the UEFA region are heating up, with Finland set to host Lithuania on October 9th at 17:00 Great Britain time. This matchup promises to be an intriguing one, given the recent form and tendencies of both teams.

Finland comes into this game with a mixed bag of results in their last five outings. They have managed two wins, one draw, and two losses, scoring six goals while conceding eight. Their most recent match against Poland ended in a 1-3 defeat, where they struggled to contain the Polish attack, managing only two shots on target compared to Poland’s six. However, Finland has shown resilience, particularly in their 2-1 win over Poland earlier in June, where they capitalized on their chances despite being outshot.

Lithuania, on the other hand, has found it challenging to secure wins, with no victories in their last five matches. They have drawn three times and lost twice, scoring five goals and conceding seven. Their last match against the Netherlands at home resulted in a 2-3 loss, where they fought hard but ultimately fell short. Lithuania has shown they can compete, as evidenced by their 2-2 draw against Finland in March, where they matched their opponents in shots on target and had a slight edge in possession.

Two key players to watch in this fixture are Finland’s Oliver Antman and Lithuania’s Gvidas Gineitis. Antman has been instrumental for Finland, contributing a goal and an assist, along with five key passes and three big chances created in his last five appearances. Gineitis has been Lithuania’s standout performer, scoring three goals and providing one assist, with ten key passes and eight shots on target in the same period.

From a tactical standpoint, Finland might look to exploit Lithuania’s defensive vulnerabilities, especially given their recent struggles to keep clean sheets. Lithuania, meanwhile, could aim to catch Finland on the counter, utilizing the pace of their forwards to stretch the Finnish defense. The set piece profile of both teams suggests that corners could be a significant source of danger, with Finland averaging three corners for and 5.2 against, while Lithuania averages two corners for and 5.4 against per game.

For betting enthusiasts, the odds currently stand at 1.48 for a Finland win, 3.90 for a draw, and 7.50 for a Lithuania victory. The total goals market might also be of interest, considering the defensive records of both teams and their propensity to concede. However, it’s crucial to approach such markets with a clear understanding of the risks involved.

Given the head-to-head record and recent form, this match is poised to be closely contested. The last meeting between these two teams ended in a 2-2 draw, suggesting that both sides have the capability to score against each other.

Predicted scoreline: 1-1.

Finland vs Lithuania Betting Tips

Bet365 offers the best odds for this punt.

Finland vs Lithuania Prediction
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Finland & Lithuania Current Form

  • Lithuania has been without a win in their last 13 games.
  • Finland has had been without clean sheet in their last 5 and Lithuania in their last 3 games.
  • 7 of Lithuania's last 8 games saw them concede the first goal.
  • 9 of Finland's last 10 and 5 of Lithuania's last 7 games have had under 4.5 cards.
  • 6 of Finland's last 6 and 8 of Lithuania's last 10 games have had under 10.5 corners.

Finland Last 10 Matches

    Lithuania Last 10 Matches

      Finland Team News and Key Players

      Player NameAppearancesGoalsAssistsTotal ShotsShots on TargetTackles
      Adam Markhiev20.5001.001.001.50
      Anssi Suhonen200001.50
      Arttu Hoskonen2001.0001.00
      Benjamin Källman60.5001.501.000.17
      Casper Terho1001.001.001.00
      Daniel Håkans200001.00
      Fredrik Jensen3000.3301.33
      Glen Kamara400001.50
      Ilmari Niskanen200001.00
      Jere Uronen5000.2001.00
      Joel Pohjanpalo60.3301.500.500.17
      Kaan Kairinen60.1700.500.171.50
      Leo Väisänen100002.00
      Leo Walta1002.002.000
      Matti Peltola600001.50
      Nikolai Alho6000.500.331.17
      Oliver Antman60.170.332.170.830.67
      Robin Lod6000.3301.50
      Santeri Väänänen100001.00
      Teemu Pukki3001.0000.33
      Topi Keskinen1001.001.000
      Tuomas Ollila100002.00

      Lithuania Team News and Key Players

      Player NameAppearancesGoalsAssistsTotal ShotsShots on TargetTackles
      Armandas Kučys20.5002.001.500.50
      Artemijus Tutyškinas4000.2501.25
      Deividas Šešplaukis100001.00
      Edgaras Utkus4000.750.251.75
      Eligijus Jankauskas2001.0001.00
      Giedrius Matulevicius2001.000.500
      Gvidas Gineitis60.500.172.501.331.33
      Gytis Paulauskas5001.000.200.40
      Justas Lasickas600.170.1702.67
      Kipras Kazukolovas300001.67
      Klaudijus Upstas3000.3301.33
      Manfredas Ruzgis1002.0000
      Modestas Vorobjovas4000.2501.25
      Pijus Širvys30.3301.000.333.00
      Rokas Lekiatas100003.00
      Romualdas Jansonas3001.000.330.33
      Romualdas Jansonas3001.000.330.33
      Vilius Armalas200002.50
      Vykintas Slivka2001.000.500

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      Finland - Lithuania Odds

      Final Result
      11.48X3.927.5
      1X1.07X22.5912
      Goals Market
      BTTS: Yes2.23BTTS: No1.6
      Over 1.51.26Under 1.53.8
      Over 2.51.86Under 2.51.91
      Over 3.53.3Under 3.51.32
      Over 4.56.88Under 4.51.09

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