The J2 League heats up as JEF United Chiba face Sagan Tosu on 5 July 2025. Our expert preview covers recent form, player performance, head-to-head stats, and betting markets to give UK punters a betting edge.
JEF United Chiba vs Sagan Tosu Prediction
Draw or Sagan Tosu
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- JEF United Chiba has been without a win in their last 7 games.
- JEF United Chiba has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 4 games.
- 7 of JEF United Chiba's last 8 and 4 of Sagan Tosu's last 5 games have had under 2.5 goals.
- 9 of JEF United Chiba's last 10 and 8 of Sagan Tosu's last 10 games have had under 4.5 cards.
JEF United Chiba, currently 3rd with 38 points from 21 matches, are coming off a 0-1 defeat against Toyama on 28 June 2025. Tsubasa Yoshihira’s strike was not enough for a draw. Leading the attack is Daichi Ishikawa, who has bagged 7 goals in 19 appearances. JEF United Chiba has created on average 1.09 xG in their last five fixtures. Their recent form is winless, with 2 losses, 3 draws, and no wins in their last 5 games, signaling a tough period. Having scored 32 goals and conceded 19 in 21 matches this season, JEF United Chiba play a more open style, with games often featuring higher-scoring outcomes.
Sagan Tosu, sitting 8th with 33 points, are in inconsistent form, with a mixed run in their recent matches. Their latest result was a 1-0 victory against Iwaki on 28 June 2025, with Reiya Morishita scoring the decisive goal. Sagan Tosu boast a strong away defence, with 8 clean sheets in 9 away games this season, having conceded 20 goals. Commanding the frontline are Taisei Inoue (2 goals in 21 appearances), Haruki Arai (2 goals in 21 appearances), Yuta Imazu (2 goals in 9 appearances), Shiva Tafari Nagasawa (2 goals in 8 appearances), Vykintas Slivka (2 goals in 20 appearances), Hiroto Yamada (2 goals in 9 appearances) and Jun Nishikawa (2 goals in 19 appearances). Sagan Tosu have generated an average of 0.92 xG in their last five matches. Sagan Tosu have mixed form, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games, making their performance a bit unpredictable.
Head-to-Head Record
- In last 4 head-to-head games, Sagan Tosu has been unbeaten.
- In last 4 head-to-head games, JEF United Chiba has failed to keep a clean sheet.
- 4 of the last 5 head-to-head games between JEF United Chiba and Sagan Tosu have had under 2.5 goals.
- 5 of the last 5 head-to-head games between JEF United Chiba and Sagan Tosu have had under 4.5 cards.
JEF United Chiba Team News and Key Players
| Player Name | Appearances | Goals | Assists | Total Shots | Shots on Target | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlinhos Junior | 16 | 0.31 | 0 | 1.63 | 0.75 | 0 |
| Daichi Ishikawa | 19 | 0.37 | 0.05 | 1.32 | 0.58 | 0 |
| Eduardo | 9 | 0.22 | 0.11 | 1.22 | 0.44 | 0 |
| Koki Yonekura | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 0 |
| Koya Kazama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Naoki Tsubaki | 22 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0 |
Formation: 4-4-2
- #19 - José Aurelio Suárez (Goalkeeper)
- #2 - Issei Takahashi (Defender)
- #24 - Koji Toriumi (Defender)
- #13 - Daisuke Suzuki (Defender)
- #26 - Yuta Ueda (Defender)
- #7 - Kazuki Tanaka (Midfielder)
- #5 - Yusuke Kobayashi (Midfielder)
- #15 - Takayuki Mae (Midfielder)
- #14 - Naoki Tsubaki (Midfielder)
- #17 - Masamichi Hayashi (Forward)
- #9 - Hiroto Goya (Forward)
Sagan Tosu Team News and Key Players
| Player Name | Appearances | Goals | Assists | Total Shots | Shots on Target | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hiroto Yamada | 10 | 0.30 | 0 | 1.30 | 0.70 | 0 |
| Hiroto Yamada | 10 | 0.30 | 0 | 1.30 | 0.70 | 0 |
| Keisuke Sakaiya | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0 |
| Kenta Nishizawa | 16 | 0.06 | 0.13 | 1.19 | 0.50 | 0 |
| Kento Nishiya | 22 | 0.05 | 0 | 1.23 | 0.23 | 0 |
| Vykintas Slivka | 21 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 1.10 | 0.29 | 0 |
| Yoshiki Narahara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
Formation: 3-4-2-1
- #12 - Ryota Izumori (Goalkeeper)
- #13 - Taisei Inoue (Defender)
- #37 - Reiya Morishita (Defender)
- #32 - Sora Ogawa (Defender)
- #5 - Shiva Tafari Nagasawa (Midfielder)
- #2 - Nagi Matsumoto (Midfielder)
- #27 - Tatsunori Sakurai (Midfielder)
- #7 - Haruki Arai (Midfielder)
- #11 - Jun Nishikawa (Midfielder)
- #77 - Vykintas Slivka (Midfielder)
- #34 - Hiroto Yamada (Forward)
JEF United Chiba vs Sagan Tosu Betting Tips
This match offers excellent opportunities for UK bettors. The website bet365 offers the best odds for this punt. You can find our best prediction for the match below.
JEF United Chiba vs Sagan Tosu Prediction
Draw or Sagan Tosu
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JEF United Chiba v Sagan Tosu Odds
Full Time Result:- JEF United Chiba to win: 11/10
- Draw: 23/10
- Sagan Tosu to win: 23/10
- JEF United Chiba to win or Draw: 1/3
- Draw or Sagan Tosu to win: 7/10
- JEF United Chiba to win or Sagan Tosu to win: 1/3
- JEF United Chiba to win: 7/4
- Draw: 11/10
- Sagan Tosu to win: 3/1
- Both Teams to Score - Yes: 5/6
- Both Teams to Score - No: 5/6
- Over 2.5 Goals: 11/10
- Under 2.5 Goals: 7/10
- Over 3.5 Goals: 11/4
- Under 3.5 Goals: 1/4
JEF United Chiba Previous 10 Matches
- 28.06, Kataller Toyama (a) 0 - 1
- 21.06, Jubilo Iwata (h) 0 - 1
- 15.06, Tokushima Vortis (a) 3 - 3
- 11.06, Roasso Kumamoto (h) 1 - 1 (5 - 6)
- 31.05, Renofa Yamaguchi FC (h) 0 - 0
- 25.05, V-Varen Nagasaki (a) 0 - 1
- 17.05, Vegalta Sendai (h) 0 - 0
- 11.05, FC Imabari (a) 1 - 0
- 06.05, RB Omiya Ardija (h) 1 - 2
- 03.05, Sagan Tosu (a) 1 - 1
- 29.04, Roasso Kumamoto (a) 0 - 0
Sagan Tosu Previous 10 Matches
- 28.06, Iwaki FC (h) 1 - 0
- 21.06, RB Omiya Ardija (a) 0 - 0
- 14.06, Mito Hollyhock (a) 0 - 1
- 11.06, Ehime FC (h) 1 - 0
- 31.05, Ehime FC (h) 2 - 2
- 25.05, Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (h) 2 - 1
- 17.05, Blaublitz Akita (a) 2 - 1
- 11.05, Ventforet Kofu (h) 0 - 0
- 06.05, Tokushima Vortis (a) 1 - 0
- 03.05, JEF United Chiba (h) 1 - 1
- 29.04, Oita Trinita (a) 0 - 1
J2 League Table
| JEF United Chiba | Opponent | Sagan Tosu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Mito Hollyhock | 0-1 | ||
| - | - | JEF United Chiba | 1-1 | |
| 0-0 | Vegalta Sendai | 0-1 | ||
| 1-1 | Sagan Tosu | - | - | |
| 1-2 | RB Omiya Ardija | 1-0 | 0-0 | |
| 3-3 | Tokushima Vortis | 1-0 | ||
| 0-1 | 0-1 | Jubilo Iwata | 0-1 | |
| 0-1 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 2-0 | ||
| 2-1 | Ventforet Kofu | 0-0 | ||
| 1-0 | FC Imabari | 1-4 | ||
| 3-1 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 2-1 | ||
| 1-0 | Oita Trinita | 0-1 | ||
| 3-2 | Fujieda MYFC | 1-0 | ||
| 2-0 | Iwaki FC | 1-0 | 1-1 | |
| 3-1 | Blaublitz Akita | 2-1 | ||
| 3-2 | Montedio Yamagata | 2-1 | ||
| 2-0 | 0-1 | Kataller Toyama | 1-0 | |
| 0-0 | Roasso Kumamoto | 1-3 | ||
| 0-0 | Renofa Yamaguchi FC | 2-2 | ||
| 5-1 | Ehime FC | 2-2 | ||
| # | Team Name | М | P | Wins | Draws | Losses | GD | SG | CG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mito Hollyhock | 23 | 48 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 1.57 | 0.74 |
| 2 | JEF United Chiba | 23 | 41 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 1.43 | 0.91 |
| 3 | Sendai | 23 | 41 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 1.22 | 0.91 |
| 4 | Sagan Tosu | 23 | 39 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| 5 | RB Omiya Ardija | 23 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 1.39 | 0.91 |
| 6 | Tokushima V | 23 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 1.00 | 0.57 |
| 7 | Jubilo Iwata | 23 | 38 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 1.57 | 1.22 |
| 8 | Nagasaki | 23 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 1.70 | 1.52 |
| 9 | Ventforet Kofu | 23 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1.00 | 0.87 |
| 10 | Imabari | 23 | 31 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| 11 | Sapporo | 23 | 31 | 9 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 1.30 | 1.70 |
| 12 | Oita | 23 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 8 | -3 | 0.87 | 1.00 |
| 13 | Fujieda | 23 | 27 | 7 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 1.13 | 1.30 |
| 14 | Iwaki | 23 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -4 | 1.22 | 1.39 |
| 15 | Blaublitz A | 23 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 13 | -14 | 1.22 | 1.83 |
| 16 | Yamagata | 23 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -4 | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| 17 | Toyama | 23 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 0.83 | 1.17 |
| 18 | Kumamoto | 23 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -10 | 1.13 | 1.57 |
| 19 | Yamaguchi | 23 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 10 | -9 | 0.83 | 1.22 |
| 20 | Ehime | 23 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -17 | 1.00 | 1.74 |
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