Peñarol vs Cerro Prediction 28.06.2025

The Liga AUF Uruguaya heats up as Peñarol face Cerro on 28 June 2025. Our detailed breakdown delves into team form, player stats, head-to-heads, and betting markets to help UK bettors make informed choices.

Peñarol vs Cerro Prediction
Home Win and Over 2.5 Goals; Peñarol #2:1 Claim Offer at #1 Bookie Gamble responsibly 18+
  • Cerro has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 3 games.
  • 4 of Cerro's last 5 games have had over 2.5 goals.
  • 4 of Cerro's last 5 games have seen both teams score.
  • 5 of Peñarol's last 5 games saw them score first.
  • 4 of Peñarol's last 5 games saw them win the first half.
  • 6 of Cerro's last 8 games have had over 4.5 cards.
  • 9 of Peñarol's last 10 and 5 of Cerro's last 7 games have had under 10.5 corners.

Peñarol, currently 1st with 13 points from 21 matches, are coming off a 2-0 victory against Wanderers on 22 June 2025. Goals from Maximiliano Silvera and Ignacio Sosa sealed the win. Their defence struggles at home, with only 3 clean sheets in 10 home games this season, leaving them vulnerable to conceding. Leading the attack are Leonardo Fernández (6 goals in 19 appearances) and Maximiliano Silvera (6 goals in 17 appearances). Peñarol has created on average 1.60 xG in their last five fixtures, showing growing attacking cohesion. Peñarol are in strong form, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 games, posing a serious threat. Having scored 34 goals and conceded 22 in 21 matches this season, Peñarol play a more open style, with games often featuring higher-scoring outcomes.

Cerro, sitting 4th with 8 points, are in inconsistent form, with a mixed run in their recent matches. Their latest result was a 1-2 defeat against Defensor on 22 June 2025, with Emanuel Cuello scoring the decisive goal. Commanding the frontline is Enzo Larrosa, who has scored 5 goals in 14 appearances. Cerro have generated an average of 0.91 xG in their last five matches. Cerro have mixed form, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games, making their performance a bit unpredictable.

Head-to-Head Record

  • In last 3 head-to-head games, Peñarol has won.
  • In last 12 head-to-head games, Peñarol has been unbeaten.
  • In last 18 head-to-head games, Cerro has failed to keep a clean sheet.
  • 8 of the last 9 head-to-head games saw Peñarol score first.
  • 5 of the last 6 head-to-head games saw Peñarol win the first half.
  • 5 of the last 7 head-to-head games between Peñarol and Cerro have had over 4.5 cards.
  • 5 of the last 6 head-to-head games between Peñarol and Cerro have had under 10.5 corners.

Peñarol Team News and Key Players


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Player NameAppearancesGoalsAssistsTotal ShotsShots on TargetTackles
Camilo Mayada5001.000.600
Damián García1001.0000
David Terans160.130.132.060.630
Diego García180.110.221.390.440
Franco González1001.0000
Héctor Villalba120.1701.000.580
Jaime Báez110.1801.090.550
Javier Cabrera160.250.061.190.500
Leonardo Fernández200.300.253.751.200
Maximiliano Olivera150.2701.070.670
Maximiliano Silvera180.330.112.220.890
Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • #25 - Martín Campaña (Goalkeeper)
  • #20 - Pedro Milans (Defender)
  • #23 - Javier Méndez (Defender)
  • #34 - Nahuel Herrera (Defender)
  • #15 - Maximiliano Olivera (Defender)
  • #29 - Eric Remedi (Midfielder)
  • #5 - Ignacio Sosa (Midfielder)
  • #7 - Javier Cabrera (Midfielder)
  • #10 - Leonardo Fernández (Midfielder)
  • #32 - Leandro Umpierrez (Midfielder)
  • #11 - Maximiliano Silvera (Forward)

Cerro Team News and Key Players


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Player NameAppearancesGoalsAssistsTotal ShotsShots on TargetTackles
Enzo Larrosa140.3602.000.500
Matías Núñez3001.3300
Máximo Alonso170.1801.180.470
Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • #1 - Mathías Cubero (Goalkeeper)
  • #4 - Emiliano Álvarez (Defender)
  • #23 - Emilio Crespo Pazos (Defender)
  • #5 - Mauro Román Villar (Defender)
  • #15 - Emanuel Cuello (Defender)
  • #17 - Facundo Silvestre (Midfielder)
  • #8 - Agustín Miranda (Midfielder)
  • #28 - Máximo Alonso (Midfielder)
  • #32 - Sebastián Cáceres (Midfielder)
  • #11 - Owen Falconis (Midfielder)
  • #9 - Enzo Larrosa (Forward)

Peñarol vs Cerro Betting Tips

This match offers excellent opportunities for UK bettors. The website bet365 offers the best odds for this punt. You can find our best prediction for the match below.

Peñarol vs Cerro Prediction
Home Win and Over 2.5 Goals; Peñarol #2:1 Claim Offer at #1 Bookie Gamble responsibly 18+

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Peñarol v Cerro Odds

Full Time Result:
  • Peñarol to win: 27/100
  • Draw: 4/1
  • Cerro to win: 12/1
Double Chance:
  • Peñarol to win or Draw: 1/25
  • Draw or Cerro to win: 11/4
  • Peñarol to win or Cerro to win: 1/6
Half-Time Result:
  • Peñarol to win: 8/11
  • Draw: 7/5
  • Cerro to win: 10/1
Goals Market:
  • Both Teams to Score - Yes: 13/8
  • Both Teams to Score - No: 13/8
  • Over 2.5 Goals: 19/20
  • Under 2.5 Goals: 17/20
  • Over 3.5 Goals: 12/5
  • Under 3.5 Goals: 3/10

Peñarol Previous 10 Matches

  • 22.06, Montevideo Wanderers (h) 2 - 0
  • 19.06, Liverpool UY (a) 2 - 3
  • 15.06, River Plate UY (a) 3 - 1
  • 07.06, Defensor Sporting (h) 3 - 0
  • 01.06, Cerro Largo (a) 1 - 1
  • 29.05, Vélez Sarsfield (h) 0 - 0
  • 24.05, Plaza Colonia (h) 2 - 0
  • 17.05, Montevideo City Torque (h) 2 - 1
  • 14.05, Olimpia (h) 3 - 2
  • 07.05, San Antonio Bulo-Bulo (a) 3 - 0
  • 03.05, Defensor Sporting (a) 1 - 0

Cerro Previous 10 Matches

  • 22.06, Defensor Sporting (a) 1 - 2
  • 19.06, Cerro Largo (h) 2 - 1
  • 13.06, Plaza Colonia (a) 2 - 2
  • 06.06, River Plate UY (h) 1 - 0
  • 01.06, Montevideo Wanderers (h) 1 - 2
  • 25.05, Liverpool UY (a) 0 - 0
  • 19.05, Boston River (a) 0 - 0
  • 03.05, Nacional (a) 0 - 4
  • 27.04, Peñarol (a) 1 - 3
  • 20.04, Montevideo City Torque (h) 1 - 2
  • 14.04, Defensor Sporting (a) 2 - 3

Liga AUF Uruguaya Table

PeñarolOpponentCerro
--Peñarol1-3
3-01-0Defensor Sporting1-2
2-02-1Montevideo Wanderers1-2
2-00-1Plaza Colonia0-12-2
0-32-3Liverpool UY0-0
3-1Cerro--
3-1River Plate UY1-0
0-21-1Cerro Largo2-10-0
#Team NameМatchesPointsWinsDrawsLossesGoal DifferenceScored GoalsConceded Goals
1Peñarol716511102.140.71
2Defensor71442121.711.43
3Wanderers71233110.860.71
4Plaza Colonia78151-10.861.00
5Liverpool78223-21.431.71
6Cerro78223-21.001.29
7River75124-40.861.43
8Cerro Largo73034-41.001.57

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