Arsenal vs Tottenham FC Prediction & Betting Tips 28.03.2026

Arsenal arrive with six straight wins in all competitions, and their league numbers are even more convincing at home, where they are unbeaten with 15 goals scored and only four conceded. That home record matters for a BTTS-No angle because it points to Arsenal controlling games and limiting visiting chances rather than turning matches into open exchanges.

Tottenham’s away profile is less reassuring for their own scoring hopes, even if they have 20 goals on the road in nine league trips. They have also just lost 5-2 at Manchester City and have gone two matches without a win, so the more recent trend is toward defensive leakage rather than a settled attacking pattern.

The head-to-head record leans the same way. The most recent league meeting finished 0-0, and Arsenal have also kept Tottenham out in three of the last four league clashes, including a 5-0 win in February 2025 and a 3-0 win in November 2024. That is useful context for a clean-sheet call, even if Tottenham did score in the 3-4 friendly last August.

Arsenal’s overall defensive record is the strongest number in the match: only 10 goals conceded in 16 league games, while Tottenham have already shipped 31 in 18. The one slight tension with BTTS-No is that Tottenham have scored in several away matches, and the xG projection of 2.1 to 0.7 still leaves Arsenal well on top rather than completely shutting the door by default.

My prediction is BTTS - No at 4/5. Arsenal’s home league record is 5-3-0 with only four goals conceded, Tottenham have just been beaten 5-2 at Manchester City, and the league head-to-head has already produced a 0-0 plus three Arsenal clean sheets in the last four meetings. Tottenham’s recent defensive fragility gives Arsenal the edge, but it also strengthens the case that one side may finish scoreless here.