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CSKA Sofia bring the cleaner profile for Away Win & Under 3.5. They have won four of their last six league matches, and every one of those victories came with a clean sheet. Their last four wins were 1-0, 2-0, 2-0 and 2-0, which is exactly the kind of score range this market needs.
Beroe’s results also lean toward a low total, but from a weaker position. They have only one win in their last six league games, scoring just one goal across that spell, and five of those six matches finished with two goals or fewer. At home they have managed only eight goals in 13 league games, so their side of the under looks credible even if they did beat Montana 1-0 on 22 March.
There is one clear concern with the combined bet: CSKA’s away record is not dominant, at four wins, four draws and five losses, and they were beaten 3-0 by Ludogorets in their last away league fixture. Even so, Beroe’s home return of two wins from 13 and their overall record of 18 scored and 39 conceded still leaves the visitors with the stronger win chance.
The projected score of 0-2 fits the selection neatly, and the xG forecast is modest at 0.7 for Beroe and 1.1 for CSKA rather than pointing to a shootout. CSKA also have a relevant team trend here, with seven of their last eight league matches finishing under 2.5 goals, which supports the idea that if they do get the job done it is more likely to come in a controlled scoreline than a wide-open game.
My prediction is Away Win & Under 3.5 at 1.78. CSKA have won four of their last six league games and all four wins were to nil, Beroe have scored only once in their last six league matches, Beroe’s home record is just two wins in 13, and the 0-2 correct-score projection sits directly inside this market.
