Everton vs Liverpool FC Prediction & Betting Tips 28.03.2026

Everton logo
Everton
28 Mar14:00R 1
00:00:00
Liverpool FC logo
Liverpool FC

Everton come into this derby having scored in four of their last six league games, and their recent home numbers are strong enough to keep pressure on Liverpool’s shaky away defence. Even in the 1-2 loss at Manchester United on 21 March, Everton found the net, while their home record still reads two wins and six defeats with 7 goals scored and 15 conceded. That kind of profile usually keeps both-score interest alive rather than pointing to a one-sided shutout.

Liverpool’s away form is even more helpful for a BTTS call because they have not won on the road in the league, but they have still found goals in several of those trips. Their most recent away outing finished 0-0 at Brighton on 22 March, yet earlier away matches this season included scoring twice at Chelsea and once at Manchester United. With only one away clean sheet in the broader record and 16 goals conceded in nine away league matches, they are rarely watertight.

There is also enough recent head-to-head evidence to keep a goal for each side on the table. Liverpool have conceded in three straight meetings noted in the database, while Everton won 4-1 at Anfield in September 2025 and 2-0 there in May 2025. The only slight caution is Liverpool’s 0-0 at Brighton just six days before this fixture, so a low-scoring first hour is possible, but that does not remove the chance of both teams landing a goal.

Everton’s overall league return of 21 scored and 29 conceded, plus Liverpool’s 17 scored and 27 conceded, fits a contest where neither defence has been reliable enough to be trusted for a clean sheet. The xG projection of 1.3 to 1.1 also leaves room for both sides to finish on the scoresheet, even if the game stays tighter than a classic open derby. That is more in line with a 1-1 type of pattern than with either team blanking.

My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 4/5. Everton have scored in four of their last six league matches, Liverpool have not kept many away clean sheets, and the away side have still managed goals in some of their tougher trips. The head-to-head record also includes several meetings where both sides found the net, and the projected 1.3 to 1.1 xG line supports a goal for each team despite Liverpool’s 0-0 at Brighton.