Greenock Morton vs Arbroath Prediction & Betting Tips 28.03.2026

Greenock Morton come into this in better immediate shape than their league position suggests, having won at Ayr United on 21 March and also beaten Dunfermline Athletic at home in mid-February. At their own ground, though, the picture is mixed: four wins, six draws and five losses in the league, with 13 goals scored and 17 conceded. That home record leaves enough room for Arbroath to compete, but it also gives Morton a platform to avoid defeat.

Arbroath arrive with stronger overall numbers and a seven-match unbeaten league run, including a 1-0 home win over Queen’s Park and four straight draws before that. Even so, several of those recent results have been tight, and their away record is only five wins, four draws and six losses. With just 15 goals scored on the road and 18 conceded, they have not been overwhelming travellers, which keeps the draw or home safety angle alive for Morton.

The head-to-head record leans in the same direction for the hosts on the double chance line, because Greenock Morton have lost none of the last six meetings with Arbroath. The recent scoring pattern between these sides has also been manageable, with three of the last four league meetings finishing level or as one-goal games. That does not guarantee a home win, but it does support Morton avoiding defeat again.

There is a small tension here because Arbroath have not lost in seven league matches and have become awkward to beat, while Morton’s home form is not especially forceful. Even so, Morton’s recent away win, their unbeaten run in this fixture, and Arbroath’s modest away returns all point toward a result where the visitors struggle to separate themselves. A 1-1 scoreline would fit the numbers, but it still leaves Morton covered on the double chance.

My prediction is Double Chance 1X at 55/100. Morton are unbeaten in six straight against Arbroath, Arbroath have only five away wins all season, and their road tally of 15 goals scored suggests they do not often run away from home. Morton have also just beaten Ayr United away and have enough home resilience, with six draws at this ground, to keep this market in play.