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Rajasthan United come into this one unbeaten in three league matches and have taken seven points from their three home games, which is the key reason they should be respected here. At home they have scored five and conceded only three, a solid base for a side expected to control territory against a visitor still looking for its first away point.
Chanmari’s away record is a major problem for them: one trip, one defeat, and three goals conceded. They have also gone three league matches without a win, while Rajasthan have shown enough stability to stay hard to beat even when they do not finish every chance. The home side’s recent 1-1 draw with Diamond Harbour kept them steady, but it was still another match in which they found a way to avoid defeat.
There is a small caveat for a straight home win because Rajasthan have drawn two of their last four league fixtures, including that latest 1-1 at home, so this is not a team winning every week. Even so, their home form is stronger than Chanmari’s away profile, and the visitors have already shown defensive cracks by conceding three against Aizawl in their most recent outing.
Chanmari do carry some threat going forward, having scored in recent league matches and found the net twice away to Aizawl, but their results have not matched that output. Rajasthan’s home advantage is more reliable than Chanmari’s attack, especially with the hosts already unbeaten at their own ground and sitting above them in the table.
My prediction is Home Win at 17/20. Rajasthan United’s home record of two wins and a draw points strongly in that direction, Chanmari have lost their only away league match so far, and the visitors arrive without a win in three. The 2.0 to 0.8 xG projection also leans toward the hosts, even if Rajasthan’s recent habit of drawing means a narrow finish is still possible.
