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TSG Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips 04.04.2026

Football PredictionsBundesligaBundesliga • Germany
TSG Hoffenheim logo
TSG Hoffenheim
04 Apr16:30R 1
00:00:00
1. FSV Mainz 05 logo
1. FSV Mainz 05
PredictionStatisticsOddsLineupsStandingsH2H

Match form loads a moment after the page opens so the main prediction can appear first; recent results are fetched right after.

TSG Hoffenheim — Last 6 matches
1. FSV Mainz 05 — Last 6 matches

Both Teams To Score is mainly driven by Hoffenheim’s profile here. They have gone six straight matches without a clean sheet, and four of their last six league games have seen both sides score. Their overall Bundesliga record of 54 goals scored and 39 conceded in 27 matches also points toward open games rather than controlled ones.

Mainz bring the stronger recent form, with four wins and three draws from their last seven in all competitions, and they have scored in each of their last four matches. They beat Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 on 22 March, creating 1.6 xG and three big chances, which is useful support for them finding a goal even away from home. The away return of 16 scored and 25 conceded in 13 league trips is not elite, but it is enough to keep this market live from both sides.

Hoffenheim’s home numbers are a big reason the selection still leans toward goals at both ends rather than simply opposing them after the 0-5 loss at RB Leipzig. They have scored 28 times in 13 home league matches, while Mainz have conceded 25 in 13 away games. The xG projection of 2.0 to 1.2 also lines up neatly with both teams contributing, not just a one-sided home win.

There is one clear counterpoint: recent head-to-head meetings have often been tight, with five of the last six finishing under 2.5 goals. Even so, the most recent league meeting ended 1-1 in November 2025, and the projected 2-1 score shows the expected path to this bet landing does not require a shootout.

My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 1.53. Hoffenheim are on a six-match run without a clean sheet, Mainz have scored in four straight matches, and Hoffenheim’s home attack is averaging better than two goals per game in the league. The 2.0 to 1.2 xG split also supports one goal at each end.