1. FC Köln come into this one with mixed league form, but their recent matches have still produced chances at both ends. Their last six league games include three losses, one draw and two wins, and the 2-1 victory at 1. FC Nürnberg showed they can still find a way to score away from home. At home, though, Köln have been tighter than their overall numbers suggest, with just 10 goals scored and 11 conceded in 10 league matches.

Eintracht Frankfurt arrive in stronger shape and with far more attacking output across the season. They are third in the table with 52 goals scored, while their away record of four wins, two draws and five defeats shows enough travelling threat to expect goals and control periods. Their 4-1 win over Hamburger SV and 2-0 success against Hoffenheim in the last week underline that they are finishing the season with attacking confidence.

The meeting point between these sides still points toward Frankfurt having the edge, but Köln’s habit of competing at home and Frankfurt’s away defensive record keep the match from looking completely one-sided. Köln have lost only four home league games, while Frankfurt’s away goals-against tally of 25 in 11 matches suggests they are not always secure on the road. That leaves room for Köln to make a game of it, even if the visitors remain the more reliable side.

The head-to-head record also leans Frankfurt’s way, with Eintracht unbeaten in 14 meetings and Köln failing to keep a clean sheet in that sequence. Frankfurt have also scored first in seven of the last eight meetings, which matters when backing the away side rather than a goals market. The projected 1-2 scoreline fits a narrow Frankfurt win, although Köln’s recent scoring record means they are at least capable of making the market sweat.

My prediction is Away Win at 57/100. Frankfurt have the better league position, the stronger goals return, and a recent run of two straight league wins, while Köln have lost three of their last six and have conceded in four of their most recent home league matches. The head-to-head edge is clear too, with Frankfurt unbeaten in 14 against Köln and usually striking first in this fixture.