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Almere City come into this on a strong run, with four wins and a draw in their last six league games and no defeat in their last four. They have also been creating enough at home to keep pressure on opponents, scoring 35 times in 16 home matches, while the 2-0 win at Jong Ajax on 20 March showed they can control a game and still finish with a clean sheet.
TOP Oss are much less secure defensively, especially away from home, where they have conceded 26 goals in 16 league trips. Their recent run still leans toward openness, with only one clean sheet in the last six and five of those matches producing goals at both ends, so they usually give opponents chances even when they pick up points.
That fits the broader numbers as well. Almere have scored 68 league goals overall and average 1.9 expected goals in this fixture projection, while TOP Oss are expected to contribute 1.2; that is enough attacking output from both sides to keep BTTS alive, even if Almere look the likelier team to control most of the game.
Head to head also points the same way, with TOP Oss failing to keep a clean sheet in all ten of the recent meetings listed here and Almere winning the last visit in November 2025 by 2-1. That kind of pattern matters for a goals-based bet because it suggests TOP Oss can usually find a way through, but not enough to shut Almere out.
My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 53/100. TOP Oss have gone six straight league games without a clean sheet, they have scored in five of their last six, and their away record includes 17 goals scored in 16 matches. Almere are strong enough at home to create chances consistently, but they have also conceded in three of their last six, so a 2-1 type game feels more likely than a one-sided shutout.
