Almería matches have been leaning strongly toward this market. They have scored in five of their last six league games, conceded in four of those six, and four of those six have already cleared three goals. Their home numbers also help: 36 scored and 22 conceded in 15 home league matches is a profile that regularly keeps both a BTTS and Over 2.5 ticket live.

Real Sociedad B U21 bring a mixed but still useful set of numbers for the same angle. They have scored in four of their last six league matches and conceded in four as well, with three of those six going over 2.5 goals. The away record is less reliable for them overall, but 19 goals scored and 23 allowed in 15 away games still points to matches with enough activity for this combined market.

The head-to-head from 29 August 2025 finished 2-2, which fits both sides of the bet. There is one small tension: Real Sociedad B U21 lost 2-0 to Granada on 22 March despite creating 1.5 xG from 18 shots, so their finishing can let this market down if they waste good positions. Even so, those chance numbers are encouraging for at least one goal from the visitors.

Almería’s latest game also supports a goals-based view. They beat Huesca 3-1 away on 20 March, posting 1.8 xG and eight shots on target, and FootAPI also flags Almería for over 2.5 goals in six of their last eight league matches. That is the cleanest supporting streak available here because it directly matches the main bet.

My prediction is BTTS or Over 2.5 at 1.42. Almería’s last six league games include four matches with at least three goals, their home record stands at 36 scored and 22 conceded in 15 games, and Real Sociedad B U21’s away record of 19 scored and 23 conceded suggests they usually contribute to open enough contests. The last meeting also ended 2-2, which would cash this line comfortably.