Campobasso go into 29 March with the sharper home profile for a home-win angle. They have won eight, drawn three and lost four at home in Serie C Group B, scoring 21 and conceding 14, so they have generally done enough on their own ground to turn matches their way.

Their recent form is also more useful than it first looks for backing the hosts. Campobasso have won four of their last six league matches and have just followed the 2-0 home win over Forlì with another positive result against Sambenedettese before that, while the defeat to Arezzo at home is the main blemish. Guidonia, by contrast, have only one win in their last six and have been held to three draws in that spell, which leaves them less reliable when asked to go and take points.

The away record does not strongly rescue Guidonia either. They have six away wins, four draws and five losses, but the bigger picture is still a side with 25 goals scored in 31 league matches overall, and their last two outings before this trip included a goalless home draw with Vis Pesaro and a 1-0 away win at Pontedera. That is respectable, yet it does not point to a team regularly forcing the issue against a top-four home side.

Head to head offers a small nudge rather than a warning sign: the meeting in November 2025 finished 0-0 in Guidonia, but Campobasso also beat them 3-2 in September 2021. With the current xG projection at 1.5 to 0.8, Campobasso should have the better of the chances, even if the most recent 0-0 shows Guidonia can stay awkward for long stretches.

My prediction is Home Win at 1/1. Campobasso’s home return of eight wins from 15 is strong enough for this market, Guidonia have managed only one win in their last six league matches, and the visitors’ attack remains modest at 25 goals in 31 games. The projected 2-1 scoreline is not completely straightforward, but it still fits a home side with the more convincing base numbers at their own ground.