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Both Teams To Score is the clearest angle because Castellón have seen it land in all of their last six league matches. They are six games without a win, but the stronger point for this market is that they have scored in four of those six while also failing to keep a clean sheet in every one of them. Their recent results read like a BTTS sequence rather than a result pattern: 1-1, 1-1, 1-4, 2-4, 1-3 and 1-1.
Almería also bring solid support for the same market. Seven of their last nine league games have featured both teams scoring, and they have gone three matches without a clean sheet despite winning two of those. Even in a stronger six-game spell of four wins, one draw and one defeat, they have still conceded in four matches, which keeps the away side’s defensive side of the BTTS case open.
The home and away splits fit a goal at each end. Castellón have scored 30 and conceded 18 across 15 home league games, while Almería’s 15 away league games have produced 23 goals for and 21 against. The xG projection of 1.8 for Castellón and 1.2 for Almería is enough to support both teams scoring, although Almería’s side of that projection is not huge, so this is stronger as a one-goal-each type of bet than a pure high-scoring shootout call.
One supporting angle from the recent meeting history also leans the same way: both teams have scored in four of the last five head-to-head games. That includes Castellón scoring four and five in the two previous wins over Almería before the 1-0 defeat in October, so even though the latest meeting failed to land BTTS, this matchup has usually produced chances for both sides.
My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 1.53. Castellón have hit this in six straight league games and have not kept a clean sheet in any of them, Almería have seen BTTS in seven of their last nine league matches, and the season splits show both sides regularly scoring and conceding in these home and away settings. The projected 2-2 scoreline also points in the same direction.
