France bring the stronger win case into Sunday evening. Didier Deschamps' side have won four of their last six matches, with only one draw in that spell, and they are seven games unbeaten overall since the 5-4 loss to Spain in June 2025. Their recent qualifying results were especially convincing, including 2-0 away to Ukraine, 3-0 at home to Azerbaijan and 4-0 against Ukraine.

Colombia are not easy to oppose outright because Nestor Lorenzo's team are unbeaten in five, taking two wins and three draws since losing 2-1 to Brazil in March 2025. Still, three of those five unbeaten games were draws, and that matters for an Away Win pick because Colombia have shown they can be competitive without consistently turning matches into victories. The projected xG of 2.0 for France against 1.5 for Colombia also points toward a French edge, even if it is not a one-sided forecast.

France's latest away performance also supports the result market more than anything else. In the 3-1 win at Azerbaijan on 16 November 2025 they posted 2.05 xG to just 0.42 xGA, dominated shots 17-2, and created six big chances. Conceding early but still winning comfortably is a useful sign for an away-side bet, because it shows they could recover control rather than fade after a setback.

There is one clear form streak that fits the market neatly: France have gone eight matches without defeat. Colombia's 6-3 win in Venezuela on 10 September was explosive, but it also came in a game where they allowed three goals and eight shots on target, so it does not strongly weaken the case for France avoiding any slip here and taking the result.

My prediction is Away Win at 1.73. France have won four of their last six, are unbeaten in eight, and their latest away win came with a strong 2.05 to 0.42 xG edge. Colombia are on a five-match unbeaten run, but three of those were draws, which leaves room for a stronger side to turn this fixture in their favour.