East Fife come into this on a six-game winless run, with four losses and two draws in their last six league outings. They have also conceded in both of their most recent matches, and their overall home record of five wins, two draws and eight defeats, with 23 goals shipped in 15 games, points to a side that has struggled to keep opponents out in front of their own crowd.

Stenhousemuir look far harder to oppose on the road. They are unbeaten in nine overall league matches, have won four of their last six, and have taken seven wins, five draws and only three defeats from 15 away trips. Just as importantly for an away win angle, they have conceded only 11 away league goals all season, which is a much tighter profile than East Fife’s home defensive record.

The recent numbers also point towards Stenhousemuir controlling the contest rather than needing a wild, open game. They beat Kelty Hearts 2-0 on 21 March, followed that with a 1-0 win at Peterhead and a 1-0 win at Hamilton Academical, while East Fife were held 2-2 at Queen of The South after a 1-1 draw at Kelty Hearts. Stenhousemuir have first scored in seven straight league matches, and East Fife have gone behind first in nine of their last ten, which is a poor combination for the hosts.

There is a little tension in the fact that East Fife have found a couple of goals in their last two away matches, so this is not a case of backing a dominant away side purely because the hosts are blunt. Even so, Stenhousemuir’s defensive record, their nine-match unbeaten league run, and the strength of their away split give them the clearer edge in a straight result market.

My prediction is Away Win at 4/6. Stenhousemuir are unbeaten in nine league matches, have won four of their last six, and have taken seven wins from 15 away games. East Fife have gone six league matches without a win and have lost eight of 15 at home. The head-to-head also leans their way, with Stenhousemuir winning the reverse fixture 5-0 in January.