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FC Botoșani come into this one on the back of three losses in their last four league outings, and their most recent home game ended 3-2 against AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia. That kind of pattern leaves little room for a clean-sheet angle, especially with their last six including only one win and plenty of goals conceded.
FCSB have been a bit steadier, with three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last six, but they have still found ways to be involved in open games away from home. Their 2-4 win at UTA Arad and 1-0 victory over the same opponent show they can score on the road, while the 1-3 loss to FC Universitatea Cluj underlines that they are not locking things down consistently.
The head-to-head record points in the same direction. Four of the last five meetings have seen both teams score, and FCSB have failed to keep a clean sheet in five straight against Botoșani. Even so, the 1-2 scoreline in early February suggests the visitors often do enough to edge it, rather than dominate from start to finish.
Botoșani’s recent defensive numbers are hard to ignore after the 0-3 defeat at FC Hermannstadt, where they produced just 0.3 xG and allowed 3.9 xGA. FCSB’s attack is more reliable, with 1.9 expected goals projected here, but Botoșani’s home scoring in the 3-2 win over Slobozia is enough to keep the BTTS angle alive.
My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 67/100. Botoșani have conceded in seven straight league games, FCSB have kept only one clean sheet in their last six, and four of the last five head-to-heads have landed with both sides scoring. The projected 1-2 scoreline also fits a game where the visitors can win without shutting the hosts out.