Germany U19 come into this one after back-to-back draws, sharing four goals with Sweden U19 on 25 March and finishing 3-3 with Spain U19 in June 2025. Their recent run has been open and unpredictable, and that matters here because they have seen over 2.5 goals in eight straight matches in the FootAPI sample. Even when Germany have avoided defeat, the games have usually stayed lively rather than controlled.

Greece U19 have also been hard to shut out of late, drawing 1-1 with Austria U19 on 25 March and twice drawing 1-1 or 2-2 in the sampled friendlies against Croatia and Ireland. They have not lost in four, but they have also not kept a clean sheet in their last three against Germany U19 in the head-to-head record. That points to chances at both ends, even if the 1-2 scoreline projection sits a little lower than Germany’s most recent goal-heavy pattern.

Germany’s home numbers from the recent sample add to the case for a scoreline that gives Greece a real opening. They drew 2-2 with Sweden U19 at home and have scored first in seven of their last eight, but they have also only won once in their last three games and conceded enough to leave the result in play. Greece, meanwhile, have avoided defeat in four and come into this with a run that includes a clean away win over Belarus U19, so they are not traveling in poor shape.

The main tension with the away call is that Germany have been unbeaten in four and have scored in almost everything recently, but the market does not ask for a comfortable Greece performance, only a win. With Germany’s tendency toward high-scoring games and Greece’s recent draw-heavy spell, the away side can still nick this if the match follows the 1-2 script rather than becoming another draw. Germany’s three-match unbeaten head-to-head run against Greece also suggests a close contest, which fits a narrow away success more than a one-sided result.

My prediction is Away Win at 7/2. Germany’s games have been packed with goals, which keeps the draw live, but Greece have gone four without a loss and have not been beaten in their last four sampled matches. Germany’s recent home draw with Sweden and 3-3 against Spain show they can be vulnerable when the game opens up, while Greece have already taken an away win in this cycle and have not kept a clean sheet in three against Germany, which still leaves room for a narrow 1-2 away result.