Gimnasia y Tiro de Salta vs Central Norte de Salta Prediction & Betting Tips 29.03.2026

Gimnasia y Tiro arrive off a 3-1 defeat at Nueva Chicago, but their recent home numbers are steadier for a low-scoring angle, with a 0-0 draw against Temperley and a 2-0 win over Almagro among their last three at home. Central Norte have been even more restrained in attack, drawing 0-0 at Los Andes and 0-0 at home to Colón in their last four league outings before edging All Boys 1-0.

That Central Norte run matters for an under because they have gone six straight league matches without reaching three total goals, and their away record in this division stands at one point from three trips with no wins and no away goals scored. Gimnasia y Tiro’s own recent home sequence has not been wild either, and the league’s home benchmark of 1.11 goals per match is already modest.

The head-to-head picture also leans toward a tighter game: six of the last seven meetings finished under 2.5 goals, including several low-scoring draws. Even the most recent competitive meetings in this fixture have generally stayed compact, which fits the current pattern better than a high-tempo contest.

There is a small tension with the projected 1-1 scoreline and Gimnasia’s 1.4 expected goals, but that still sits safely within an under ticket. Central Norte’s 0.6 xG projection, their blank away record, and both sides’ recent run of controlled scorelines all point to a match that can stay below three goals.

My prediction is Under 2.5 Goals at 17/50. Central Norte have landed under 2.5 goals in all six of their latest league matches, their away record includes no goals scored across three trips, and six of the last seven head-to-head meetings have also stayed under this line. Gimnasia y Tiro’s last two home league games produced just two goals in total, which keeps the under well supported even if the game finishes level.