Hammarby IF vs Rosengård Prediction & Betting Tips 29.03.2026

Hammarby come into this opener on the back of five wins in their last six league matches, and the scoring figures are eye-catching: six against IF Brommapojkarna, three at Alingsås, four against Norrköping DFK and two away to Vittsjö GIK, with only the 2-0 defeat at BK Häcken interrupting that run. They have also been strong at home in this head-to-head, beating Rosengård 4-0 and 5-0 in their two most recent home meetings, so there is a clear pattern of Hammarby imposing themselves in this fixture.

Rosengård are not arriving in poor shape either, with three wins, one draw and two losses from their last six. Their latest result was a 3-1 home win over Linköpings FC, but before that they had lost three of four, and the 0-0 with Alingsås was the only clean sheet in that stretch. Away from home they have mixed results, and the recent 1-0 win at Piteå shows they can keep things tight, even if their broader away form still looks less convincing than Hammarby’s home record.

The goals profile points towards a game with chances at both ends. Hammarby’s last six have produced plenty of output at one end, while Rosengård have scored in enough recent matches to make a Hammarby clean sheet less certain than the home win angle alone might suggest. The head-to-head record also leans towards open football, with more than 2.5 goals landing in five of the last five meetings, although that does sit slightly awkwardly with the shorter 2-1 correct-score lean and leaves room for Rosengård to contribute.

Hammarby’s home edge is the biggest factor here. They have not lost any of the last five meetings with Rosengård, and the two most recent home clashes ended in emphatic wins, which matters more than Rosengård’s decent league position. The xG projection also tilts the same way, with Hammarby at 2.1 and Rosengård at 1.0, suggesting the hosts should create the better chances and be in control for long spells.

My prediction is Home Win at 1/6. Hammarby have won five of their last six league matches, they have already beaten Rosengård 4-0 and 5-0 at home in recent meetings, and they are projected to generate more quality chances with 2.1 xG to 1.0. Rosengård have enough attacking form to threaten, but Hammarby’s home record in this fixture is the clearest edge.