Kamatamare Sanuki arrive with a mixed recent record, but their last two home games have each produced goals at both ends and a combined four and three. The 3-1 win over Nara Club on 22 March was a clear step up from the narrow defeats to Tokushima Vortis and Zweigen Kanazawa, while their earlier home matches against Albirex Niigata and Kataller Toyama were opened up badly.

Ehime FC’s recent away profile also points toward a result that can swing either way rather than a comfortable home response. They drew 2-2 at Kataller Toyama and 2-2 at Nara Club in their last away fixtures, and their overall six-match run has included three draws and two defeats, with only one win. That kind of pattern keeps the visitors in games, but it also leaves room for a late drop-off.

The head-to-head record slightly leans Ehime’s way, with no losses in the last six meetings and a 3-2 away win in August 2023 among the stronger references. Even so, the more useful angle here is that five of the last six meetings stayed under 2.5 goals, which fits a match where neither side has been especially stable and margins have often been tight. The projected 1-2 scoreline is on the higher side of that historical trend, so a narrow away success is more plausible than a wide-open contest.

Kamatamare’s home numbers do not give much comfort for a home result, especially after those losses earlier in the season, while Ehime have at least shown they can pick up points on the road and avoid collapse. Their most recent 1-0 win over Kochi United SC also showed they can edge low-margin games when needed. With Ehime’s away draw count and the strong head-to-head unbeaten run, the visitors look the more reliable side to trust.

My prediction is Away Win at 3/2. Ehime FC have not lost any of their last six meetings with Kamatamare Sanuki, they have drawn two of their last three away matches 2-2, and their recent form includes only one win from six. Kamatamare’s home results have been inconsistent, and although they beat Nara Club 3-1 on 22 March, the earlier home defeats suggest they are still vulnerable when the game turns tight.