Kataller Toyama come in with real momentum after their 3-2 win at Albirex Niigata on 20 March, a match that again underlined how open their games can be. They have scored in five of their last six league matches and their recent home sequence includes a 2-2 draw with Ehime, a 0-2 loss to Zweigen Kanazawa and a 0-0 with FC Osaka, so there has been enough attacking threat but also enough gaps to keep opponents in the game.

FC Imabari arrive with a more awkward away profile, having lost four of their last five on the road in league play. Their away defeats at Kochi United SC, Kamatamare Sanuki and Nara Club were all narrow, but they still point to a side that has struggled to turn travelling performances into points. Even so, they did beat Tokushima Vortis 2-1 at home on 22 March, so they are not arriving short of confidence altogether.

The head-to-head record leans Kataller Toyama’s way at this venue in one important sense: Imabari have not lost the last three meetings overall, but the pair have also played out two goalless draws and a 1-2 result across recent seasons. That mix fits a match where Toyama usually have enough to score, yet Imabari’s away results suggest they may not have the reliability to control the contest for long spells. With Toyama averaging more attacking output at home than the league’s away benchmark, the home side’s edge looks marginal rather than overwhelming.

I do not expect a clean, comfortable home win, because the recent scorelines point to a contest where both sides can create moments and Toyama have conceded in most of their latest games. Still, Imabari’s away form is the weaker side of the argument, and their run of narrow losses leaves room for Toyama to edge a match that could be tighter than the price suggests. The 2-1 correct score fits that balance, especially with Toyama’s home matches and recent away wins regularly producing goals at both ends.

My prediction is Home Win at 19/20. Kataller Toyama have won their last match and are scoring regularly, while FC Imabari have lost four of their last five away league games. Imabari’s road results have been difficult to trust, and Toyama’s recent home pattern suggests they can turn pressure into three points even if they concede again.