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KTP come into the opener having shown plenty of attacking life in their recent league games, with four matches out of their last six producing at least three goals. They have also scored in each of their last six, which keeps them relevant for a home win call, but the 2-3 defeat to TPS in October also reminds us they are rarely comfortable enough to shut games down early.
FC Haka’s recent away form is harder to trust for a positive result here. They have gone 14 matches without a win, and their latest six have brought five defeats and one draw. On top of that, they have not kept a clean sheet in that sequence, so even when they have found a goal, it has not been enough to protect them.
The head-to-head record leans KTP’s way as well, with KTP unbeaten in the last three meetings between the sides. Two of those were wins for KTP, including the 2-1 away victory in October 2025, and both of those games went over 2.5 goals, which fits the idea of KTP having enough firepower to decide this one at home. FC Haka’s tendency to score first in this fixture is a warning sign, though, so this is not a straightforward home-catchall.
KTP’s home numbers are not flawless, but they do point in the right direction for a home success. They have scored in every one of their last six league matches, and their xG in the 2-3 loss to TPS was still a healthy 1.4, while FC Haka’s most recent visit to KTP finished with just 0.8 xG and only three shots on target. That balance suggests the visitors may again struggle to turn possession into enough clear chances.
My prediction is Home Win at 11/10. KTP have already beaten FC Haka twice in the last three meetings, including the 2-1 away win in October 2025, and they are unbeaten in the last three head-to-heads. FC Haka arrive on a 14-match winless run, with five defeats in their last six, and they have failed to keep a clean sheet in that stretch. KTP’s scoring run also gives them the edge in a match where the visitors have recently offered little resistance.
