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KV Kortrijk come into Friday’s game with a mixed but productive run, having won three of their last five league matches while scoring in five of those six. Their latest result was a 4-1 defeat away to Royal Francs Borains, but that sits alongside a 3-1 home win over OC Charleroi and a 3-1 victory against RFC Liège, which shows they are still creating enough to contribute to a higher-scoring match.
KAA Gent Reserve U23 have been even more open, with six of their last seven league matches going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in six of their last seven. They have also gone nine straight league games without a clean sheet, so even when they are competitive, they are rarely shutting opponents out. Their 3-2 win over Club NXT U23 last time out is another reminder that their games are usually played at a brisk pace.
The home and away numbers point in the same direction. KV Kortrijk’s home record is strong, but they have conceded in several recent league games, while Gent Reserve U23’s away split of seven wins and seven losses has been fairly volatile rather than controlled. The only head-to-head listed finished 3-2 to Kortrijk in October 2025, which fits the sort of open game this fixture has already produced before.
There is a small tension with Kortrijk’s excellent home defensive record overall, but Gent Reserve U23’s recent away matches have been difficult to keep down, and Kortrijk themselves have had enough attacking success to help the total along. The xG projection of 1.7 to 1.1 also leans towards a match with at least three goals, especially with both sides showing regular scoring patterns.
My prediction is Over 2.5 Goals at 1/2. Kortrijk have scored three or more in two of their last four league matches, Gent Reserve U23 have gone over 2.5 goals in six of their last seven, and both teams have been scoring regularly. Gent’s nine-match run without a clean sheet adds further support, even if Kortrijk’s home record is the one factor that could keep the score from running away.
