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Marítimo U23 come into this one with three wins from their last five league matches, and each of those victories has come with goals at both ends or at least a narrow margin. Their most recent outing was a 2-1 away win at UD Leiria U23 on 18 March, while the home win over Portimonense U23 also finished 2-1. That pattern matters here because they are not keeping many clean sheets, but they are still doing enough in attack to stay in games.
Vizela U23 are harder to trust on results alone, even if they have been competitive in patches. They are without a win in six league matches and have lost four of those, including a 4-2 defeat at UD Leiria U23 and a 3-1 loss away to Gil Vicente U23. The away record in that spell has been particularly shaky, and that is a clear problem against a Marítimo side that has recently found ways to score at home and on the road.
The scoring pattern points more towards both teams getting chances than towards a one-sided contest. Vizela have seen both teams score in eight of their last nine league matches, and three of the last five head-to-head meetings have also finished without a clean sheet for either side. Marítimo’s own recent results fit that picture too, with three of their last five producing at least three total goals, although their 0-1 and 2-0 losses show they can still be dragged into tighter games.
There is a small tension with the projected scoreline, because a 1-2 away result would still require Vizela to turn recent draw-heavy form into an actual win. Even so, the away side’s strong scoring consistency in this group and Marítimo’s occasional defensive slips keep the balance tilted toward the visitors.
My prediction is Away Win at 17/20. Vizela have gone six league games without a win, but their matches have still been tight enough to stay in contention, with three of the last five head-to-heads finishing without a clean sheet for either side. They have also scored in most recent outings, including the 1-1 draw with Estrela Amadora U23 on 18 March, and Marítimo have not built a run of home shutouts to lean on. With Vizela’s attack still producing and Marítimo prone to conceding, the away side are worth backing to edge it.
