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Montenegro U21 arrive with a mixed but lively scoring pattern, having produced four matches with three goals or more in their last six, including a 2-2 draw away to Sweden U21 on 27 March and a 3-2 home win over North Macedonia U21 in October. Their record also includes four games in that run where they found the net themselves, while they have gone five qualifiers without a clean sheet, so their matches have generally carried enough threat at both ends.
Poland U21 have been even stronger in attack, scoring four against Armenia U21 in their most recent outing and backing that up with wins over North Macedonia U21, Italy U21, Sweden U21 and Montenegro U21 in this group. They have scored at least twice in several of those fixtures, and their current six-match winning streak is a clear sign of control. With both sides coming off high-scoring results, the total goal line looks more attractive than a tight defensive contest.
The head-to-head also leans Poland’s way. They beat Montenegro U21 2-0 in the reverse fixture on 10 October 2025, and that result came during a wider run in which Poland have repeatedly got the first goal and often set the pace early. Montenegro’s own games, meanwhile, have not been short of chances, but that tends to suit Poland as well given how regularly they have turned decent attacking pressure into wins.
There is a small tension with the projected 1-2 scoreline because Montenegro have enough attacking output to nick a goal, yet that still fits Poland to win if the visitors keep their recent scoring rhythm. Poland’s away form in this group has already included victories at Sweden U21 and North Macedonia U21, and Montenegro’s five-match run without a clean sheet leaves them vulnerable again. Even so, Poland should have the better balance between chance creation and game control.
My prediction is Away Win at 53/100. Poland U21 are on a six-match winning run, they have already beaten Montenegro U21 2-0 in this qualification group, and Montenegro have gone five games without a clean sheet. The visitors have also scored four against Armenia U21 and shown they can win away from home in this section, which gives the away side the clearest edge here.
