Nueva Chicago come into this one with a mixed but generally tight run, and their recent league games lean toward controlled scorelines rather than open contests. They have scored three against Gimnasia y Tiro de Salta and twice away at Agropecuario Argentino in the last few weeks, but that sits alongside a 0-0 with Tristán Suárez and a 0-2 defeat at San Martín de Tucumán, so their scoring pattern is far from explosive.

All Boys have been even more conservative in the final third. Their last four league matches produced only two goals in total, with 1-0 results at both ends of that sequence and a goalless draw at home to Ciudad de Bolivar in between. Away from home they have yet to pick up a point in the league, and their two trips have yielded just one goal scored and three conceded, which is a useful base for an unders angle.

The numbers also point in the same direction. Nueva Chicago’s recent home win over Gimnasia y Tiro came with an xG of just 0.5 and a match that was still decided within a relatively compact total, while All Boys’ latest away game ended 0-1 despite an xG of 1.5 for them and 1.4 against. A 1-1 correct score is possible on paper, but the broader shape of both sides’ form sits slightly more naturally with a low total than with a game that opens up.

Head-to-head history gives the under a bit more support too, with five of the last six meetings finishing below 2.5 goals. That fits the current picture: Nueva Chicago have gone under in four of their last five league matches, and All Boys rarely produce much away from home. Even the league benchmarks are modest, with away sides averaging only 0.69 goals per match.

My prediction is Under 2.5 Goals at 1/4. Nueva Chicago’s recent league games have repeatedly stayed in low-scoring territory, All Boys have just one goal in two away league fixtures, and five of the last six meetings between these sides went under the line. The only real tension is the 1-1 projection, but the form and head-to-head trend still favour a match with no more than two goals.