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OFK Beograd come into this one unbeaten in six league matches, with four draws and two wins, and their recent results have been open enough to keep home support interested. They scored at Radnički Niš in a 2-1 win, drew 3-3 with IMT Beograd and 2-2 at Napredak, while the 0-0s against Radnički 1923 and Železničar show they can also tighten up when needed.
FK Radnik Surdulica have been harder to trust on the road, with three wins, four draws and seven defeats in their away league record. Their last away game ended in a 3-1 win at Spartak Subotica, but that sits alongside a sequence that still includes plenty of dropped points, and their overall defensive record away from home is not especially sturdy.
The numbers lean toward OFK Beograd having the edge at home rather than this being a one-sided contest. OFK are 6th with 39 points, just one ahead of Radnik, and both teams have similar overall goal returns, which points to a fairly even game on paper. Even so, OFK’s current unbeaten run and Radnik’s inconsistent away form give the hosts the better platform.
There is a reasonable case for goals as well, since OFK’s last six league matches have produced a mix of both teams scoring and a couple of higher-scoring draws, while Radnik have seen both teams score in five of their last six. The head-to-head also leans that way, with four of the last five meetings going above 2.5 goals, although OFK’s recent 0-0s are a small reminder that they can still produce a more controlled home performance.
My prediction is Home Win at 19/20. OFK Beograd are unbeaten in six league matches, they have already taken wins against Radnički Niš and Partizan in that run, and Radnik’s away record shows only three wins from 14. The visitors have also been more fragile on the road than the hosts have been in this fixture overall, so a narrow home success looks the best angle despite the close standings.
