Partick Thistle come into this one with three league matches unbeaten and a strong home profile that suits a low-scoring angle. They have not lost at home in the Championship all season, and their home record of ten wins and five draws includes only ten goals conceded. That kind of base usually keeps matches tight, especially when the visitors have not been convincing away from home.

Ross County’s away numbers also lean toward caution rather than open football. They have only two away wins in the league, along with seven draws and six defeats, and they have scored just nine times on the road. Their recent run includes one win in five league matches, with two goalless draws and a 1-0 defeat among them, so they have not been producing much in front of goal away from Dingwall.

Recent scorelines from both sides point in the same direction. Partick Thistle have had two 0-0 draws in their last six league outings, while Ross County have drawn 0-0 twice in their last six league games as well. Ross County also had a 2-2 draw against Dunfermline Athletic on 21 March, but the rest of that spell has been low on goals, and the overall pattern still looks more controlled than expansive.

There is a small tension with the projected 1-1 scoreline and the xG line of 1.3 to 0.9, because those figures leave some room for both teams to nick a goal. Even so, the stronger evidence sits with a match that stays under three goals: Partick Thistle’s sturdy home defence, Ross County’s modest away scoring return, and the frequency of recent low-scoring league results for both clubs all point that way. The head-to-head also does not force a goal-heavy expectation, with the sides having split their last two league meetings by a single goal or a two-goal margin.

My prediction is Under 2.5 Goals at 3/4. Partick Thistle have kept four clean sheets in their last six league matches, while Ross County have failed to score in two of their last six and managed only nine away goals all season. Ross County are also winless in four, which often encourages a more cautious away approach, and Partick Thistle’s home record has been built on control rather than open games.