Rajasthan United come into this one with a solid home record in the league, winning both of their matches in front of their own supporters and conceding only twice. Even so, they have had to work hard for points, and their recent run has included narrow margins rather than dominance, which leaves them vulnerable against a Diamond Harbour side that travel well.

Diamond Harbour’s away numbers are stronger: two wins from two on the road, with four goals scored and only one conceded in those league away games. They have also won three of their last four overall, and the latest of those was a 2-0 success at Aizawl, so they arrive with more momentum than the hosts.

The scoring profile points towards a tight contest rather than a one-sided game. Rajasthan’s league total of six goals scored and six conceded, plus Diamond Harbour’s 6-3 record in the table, suggest both teams can compete, but the visitors’ superior defensive return away from home is a key edge. A projected 1-2 scoreline fits that balance, though the home side’s good record in Rajasthan means this is not a free pass.

There is one small note of caution for an away win: Rajasthan have not been easy to beat at home, and they have already beaten Real Kashmir and Namdhari FC there. Still, Diamond Harbour’s perfect away league record and their three wins in the last four overall give them the more reliable profile, especially with their xG projection also shading the match in their favour at 1.4 to 0.9.

My prediction is Away Win at 7/4. Diamond Harbour have won both of their away league matches, Rajasthan have been solid at home but not overwhelming, and the visitors have taken three wins from their last four overall. Their away defence has also held up well, conceding just once on the road in the league, which supports them edging a close game.