Espanyol arrive with only one defeat in their last four league games, while Levante have lost five of their last six and are still waiting for an away point of real value in this run. That contrast matters for a home win call because Espanyol are at least collecting results, whereas Levante’s recent sequence has been built around narrow losses and a lack of cutting edge.

At home, Espanyol have already shown they can control this type of fixture. They beat SD Eibar 2-0 on 16 March and have also taken points against DUX Logroño and Madrid CFF in the wider run, while their league record of 6 wins, 7 draws and 10 defeats is comfortably stronger than Levante’s 2 wins, 2 draws and 19 defeats. The visitors’ season total of 14 goals scored against 46 conceded also points to a side that struggles to keep matches level for long.

Levante’s latest outing was a 1-0 home defeat to Real Sociedad, a game in which they produced just three shots and none on target. That followed a 4-0 loss at Costa Adeje Tenerife and a 1-2 home defeat to Real Club Deportivo de la Coruña, so the away side are not carrying much momentum into this trip. Even if Espanyol have not been perfect themselves, their recent 1-1 draw at Madrid CFF and the xG projection of 1.4 to 1.0 suggest the hosts should have the slightly stronger attacking base.

The head-to-head also leans Espanyol’s way, with three 1-0 wins for them in the last four league meetings and a 1-0 away victory at Levante in December 2025. That is useful for a home-win angle because it shows Espanyol have already found ways to edge this opponent, even if the margin has often been tight. The one small caution is that the projected 2-1 scoreline leaves room for Levante to score, so this is not a comfortable matchup, just one where the home side have the clearer case.

My prediction is Home Win at 53/100. Espanyol’s recent form is steadier, Levante have lost five of their last six, and the visitors have managed only 14 league goals all season. The head-to-head is another plus for the hosts, with Espanyol winning three of the last four league meetings and taking the most recent one 1-0.