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Rotherham come into this on a poor run, with five matches without a win and only one goal scored across their last six league games. Three of those six finished without them finding the net at all, and their most recent outing was a 3-0 defeat at Lincoln City, where they managed just 0.3 xG. That kind of attacking return does little to encourage a game where both sides score.
Stevenage have been more reliable overall, but their away numbers are not especially free-scoring either. They have lost 10 of their 19 league trips, and while they have won three of their last six in the league, four of those six matches finished with only one team scoring. Their away goals record of 19 in 19 also points to a side that can control games without necessarily turning them into open contests.
The head-to-head also leans toward caution for goal markets, with Stevenage winning 1-0 when these sides met in August 2025 and Rotherham’s last home meeting with them finishing 2-0. Rotherham have gone four league games without keeping a clean sheet, but that does not automatically point to BTTS here because their own attack has been so subdued. Stevenage’s 1.4 xG projection is respectable, yet it still leaves some room for a low-scoring away win rather than a game with goals at both ends.
Rotherham’s home record is steady rather than explosive, with six wins, seven draws and six defeats, and 22 home goals in 19 matches. Stevenage’s away profile is decent, but their recent results have often been built on narrow margins rather than attacking freedom. With Rotherham creating so little in the final third and Stevenage frequently landing in tight scorelines, the clean-sheet side of the BTTS bet has enough support, even if the 1-1 correct score projection does create a little tension.
My prediction is BTTS - No at 4/5. Rotherham have failed to score in three of their last six league matches, Stevenage have seen four of their last five league games stay under 2.5 goals, and the August 2025 meeting ended 1-0 to Stevenage. Rotherham’s attack has been especially blunt, while Stevenage’s away output is only 19 goals in 19 league trips, so one side blanking feels more likely than both scoring.
