Slovenia U21 come into this in poor shape, with just two draws and four losses from their last six matches and no win in 11. They were held 0-0 away to Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 on 27 March, but that clean sheet came after a long stretch in which they have struggled to score, including no goals in three of their recent games.
Norway U21 arrive in much stronger form, winning all six of their last six and scoring in every one of those matches. Their latest result was a 3-2 home victory over the Netherlands U21 on 27 March, while they also beat Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 1-0 and Israel U21 3-0 away, which underlines how consistently they have handled this qualifying group.
The head-to-head record also leans Norway’s way, with a 5-0 win over Slovenia U21 in September 2025. That is a useful reminder that Slovenia have already been opened up by this opponent, and it sits alongside a wider trend of Slovenia often conceding first and rarely finding enough in attack to recover.
There is a small tension with the 1-2 scoreline forecast, because Slovenia’s last match was a goalless draw, but the broader pattern still favours Norway on the road. Slovenia have gone 11 games without a win, while Norway have scored first in seven of their last eight and their away wins in this campaign have come with control rather than chaos. With Norway averaging more threat in the final third and Slovenia stuck in a low-scoring run, the away side look best placed to take the points.
My prediction is Away Win at 19/20. Norway U21 are unbeaten in six and have won their last six matches, while Slovenia U21 are winless in 11 and have failed to score in three of their last six. The away side have already beaten Slovenia 5-0 in this group, and they have also taken solid qualifying wins away from home against Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 and Israel U21.
