Syria arrive with enough control at the back to keep this tied to a lower-scoring game, even if their recent results have been mixed. Their last six have brought three wins, two draws and one loss, and the defensive numbers are especially helpful for an Under 2.5 Goals angle: they have been involved in five straight matches below that line in the league sample, while their 1-0 defeat to Morocco in December was tight throughout.
Afghanistan’s recent away and competitive form also leans toward a modest total rather than an open contest. They are winless in seven, and their last six have produced three losses, two draws and one defeat with only one goal in the most recent defeat to Myanmar. Their other recent qualification games included a 0-0 draw with Pakistan and a 1-1 draw with Pakistan, which fits a side that can slow the pace but struggles to turn chances into goals.
The head-to-head record points the same way, although there is a small tension with the older meetings because several of them were high scoring. The most recent clash finished Afghanistan 0-1 Syria in June 2025, and Syria have won five of the five listed meetings while Afghanistan have failed to keep a clean sheet in all of them. Even so, the current form and the low attacking output from Afghanistan are more relevant than those older, looser scorelines.
Syria’s attack should still create enough to edge the game, but the cleaner read is that Afghanistan need to stay compact to stay competitive, which often drags the match toward a narrow scoreline. Syria’s recent 0-0 with Palestine and 1-1 with Qatar also show they do not always run away with matches, so a predicted 1-1 scoreline sits close to the line and leaves room for a cagey second half rather than a clear scoring burst.
My prediction is Under 2.5 Goals at 13/10. Syria have had five straight matches finish below this line in the league sample, Afghanistan have been short of goals across their recent qualifiers, and the last two meetings in this fixture finished 0-1 and 1-0. The combined picture is of a game more likely to stay tight than turn into a three-goal contest, even if Syria are the likelier side to control possession.
