Over 2.5 goals looks well supported here because both sides have been involved in plenty of open games. Truro City have seen 13 goals in their last four league matches, while Solihull Moors have gone over this line in five of their last six. The xG projection is also balanced at 1.6 for Truro and 1.6 for Solihull, which points to chances at both ends rather than a tight contest.

Truro’s home record is not spotless, but it still carries enough attacking weight for this market. They have scored 24 goals in 18 home league games, and their last outing brought a 3-0 win at Sutton United after three different scorers got on the sheet. Even in defeat, their recent home games against Scunthorpe and Braintree produced three and five total goals, so their matches have rarely been short on action.

Solihull arrive with even clearer over trends, despite a poor run of results. They are winless in nine league matches and have gone without a clean sheet in six, while their away numbers show 27 goals conceded in 16 trips. Recent results have been especially lively, with a 5-1 defeat at Wealdstone, a 3-3 draw at Scunthorpe, and a 3-4 loss to Hartlepool, which fits the type of high-scoring pattern this pick needs.

There is a small note of caution because Solihull were just beaten 3-0 by FC Halifax Town and Truro’s projected 2-1 scoreline is not a runaway over, but the broader profile still leans upward. The only head-to-head listed ended 4-0 to Solihull, which also sits comfortably with a goals line above 2.5. With Solihull repeatedly involved in open matches and Truro’s recent home fixtures offering little defensive control, the over remains the stronger side.

My prediction is Over 2.5 Goals at 17/20. Solihull have gone over this line in five of their last six league matches, their away games have produced 49 goals across 16 trips, and they have not kept a clean sheet in six. Truro’s recent home results have also been open, and the 1.6 xG projection for each side points to chances for both teams.