TSV 1860 München welcome SSV Jahn Regensburg to the Grünwalder Stadion on Sunday evening in the 3. Liga, with both clubs still chasing a stronger finish to the season. 1860 sit eighth on 50 points, well inside the top half but still looking for a late surge that could drag them back towards the promotion conversation. Regensburg are 12th on 42, which leaves them in that awkward middle ground: not in danger, not really safe from the frustration of a flat ending either.
There’s a bit more on the line here than just three points. Markus Kauczinski’s side have a strong home record and that gives them a platform, but their recent dip has taken some shine off it. Mounir Raychouni’s Regensburg arrive with a more inconsistent profile, yet they’ve shown enough away from home to make this a live game. The first meeting between these sides in November ended 4-0 to Regensburg. The rematch in March, in the Bavarian Toto Cup, went the other way with 1860 edging it 1-0. So there’s already a bit of edge in the air. This one should have goals in it.
TSV 1860 München Form & Analysis
1860’s last few weeks have been a strange mix of promise and pain. They started March by beating Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 at home, then went to FC Viktoria Köln and nicked a 1-0 away win that looked like the sort of result that can kick-start a run. It didn’t quite happen. A goalless draw with Wehen Wiesbaden followed at home, then another point without a goal at home to Waldhof Mannheim. Last time out, they went to Energie Cottbus and got thumped 3-0. That was a hard reset. Three goals conceded, no reply, and little to cling to.
The concern is that their form has flattened at just the wrong moment. They’ve gone four league matches without a win, and the Cottbus defeat was more than just a bad day at the office. They were second-best in both boxes, and the xG line was ugly: 2.32 created, 3.04 allowed, with Cottbus finding far more clean looks on goal. That’s the sort of performance that asks awkward questions of a side trying to hold together a promotion push, even if the table still looks respectable. Still, their home record gives them a reason to believe. At the Grünwalder Stadion they’ve won eight, drawn six and lost only twice, scoring 28 and conceding 20. That’s a solid base. Not flawless. But hard to ignore.
What makes 1860 tricky to read is that the attacking output is there without the consistency to match. They’ve scored 47 league goals overall, and on home turf they average more than a goal and a half per game. The defensive numbers at home are decent too, though not airtight. You’d expect them to have enough moments here, especially with Regensburg’s away record looking vulnerable. The flip side? They’ve also shown they can go quiet for long spells, as the recent blank against Mannheim proved. If they don’t start well, the crowd can feel it. That matters.
SSV Jahn Regensburg Form & Analysis
Regensburg come into this with a far less stable rhythm, but they’re not arriving empty-handed. Their last six tell a proper story of swings and turns. They lost 1-0 at home to Osnabrück on 7 March, then bounced back with a 2-1 away win at SC Verl. A 1-1 draw at Saarbrücken followed, then came a lively 5-2 home win over TSV Havelse. That was their high point. Then they were beaten 3-1 away at Stuttgart II, before responding with a narrow but useful 1-0 home win over Erzgebirge Aue. That’s the sort of sequence that tells you they can recover from setbacks, but don’t ask for a straight line. It simply isn’t there.
Away from home, though, the picture is far less convincing. Regensburg’s away record sits 14th in the division, with just four wins, three draws and nine defeats. They’ve scored only 18 goals on their travels and conceded 26. Those are not numbers that scream control or resilience. They can nick something on the road, as the wins at Verl and Saarbrücken show, but they’re usually open to being hurt. And when they’re chasing a game away from home, the cracks tend to widen. That’s a real concern against a 1860 side who usually do enough at home to create chances.
Raychouni’s team do carry a threat. They’ve scored 44 league goals, so there’s no shortage of attacking intent, and the 5-2 win over Havelse showed what happens when they get their tempo right. They can open teams up. But they’ve also conceded 48 overall, which is why they’re stuck around mid-table rather than pushing upwards. Their latest win over Aue was controlled rather than flashy — a first-half goal from Philipp Muller settled it — and it was exactly the sort of result they needed after the Stuttgart II defeat. Still, a one-goal home win doesn’t erase the fact that they’ve been loose away from home for most of the campaign.
Mind you, there is one part of Regensburg’s profile that shouldn’t be brushed aside. They’re capable of scoring in awkward spots, and they’ve done it against better sides than 1860 this season. The issue is whether they can keep the game under control long enough to make that matter. On this ground, against a home side with far better numbers in front of their own supporters, that’s a big ask. Really big.
Head-to-Head
The recent meetings lean slightly towards chaos, then sudden swings. Regensburg battered 1860 4-0 in the league on 9 November 2025, a result that still stands out as the most emphatic of the recent series. Before that, the league meeting at the Grünwalder Stadion in November 2023 ended 1-0 to Regensburg as well, so 1860 have had their share of pain in this fixture.
But the more recent cup meeting changed the mood. On 28 March 2026, 1860 went to Regensburg and won 1-0 in the Bavarian Toto Cup. That won’t rewrite the rivalry, but it does matter for confidence. One team has already shown it can handle the other on the road, and both camps know this fixture can flip quickly. If you’re looking for a pattern, goals have generally shown up when these sides meet in competitive football. The 4-0 away win for Regensburg was the outlier. The rest have been tighter, and that keeps the door open for a lively evening here.
We Predict: Over 2.5 Goals
We’re backing Over 2.5 Goals at 4/6 for this one. It’s not a flashy price, but it’s the right angle. 1860 have enough attacking quality at home to contribute, Regensburg have the away numbers of a side that’ll give chances away, and both clubs have shown they can be involved in open, back-and-forth games when the tempo rises. The xG projection also points that way, with 1860 at 1.7 and Regensburg at 1.5. That’s a proper hint of three-goal territory.
A 2-1 home win fits the feel of it best. 1860’s stronger home record should count for plenty, but Regensburg have enough threat to get on the scoresheet, especially given the way 1860 have defended in patches this spring. If you want a slightly more aggressive angle, 1860 München to win and both teams to score is live too. Still, the totals play is cleaner here. One team should edge it, and the goals should come with it.
