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Both Teams To Score has a solid base here because Vitória SC’s defending has been unreliable for a while, with no clean sheet in seven straight league games. They have also conceded first in five of their last six, and five of their last seven league matches have seen both teams score. Even during a poor spell of four defeats and one draw in their last five, they still scored in home losses to Famalicão and in the 2-1 win over Estrela Amadora.
The main concern for this market is Tondela’s attack, which has been quiet at times. They have one win, four draws and one defeat from their last six league games, but they failed to score against AVS and Rio Ave in their last two home fixtures. Away from home, though, they have at least shown they can contribute, with goals in draws at Estoril Praia and CF Estrela Amadora before that 2-0 win on 20 February.
The projections are close to a BTTS outcome rather than strongly for or against it. Vitória SC are priced by the numbers to create about 1.3 xG and Tondela about 1.2 xG, with the correct-score call landing on 1-1. That is not an explosive setup, but it does fit the idea that each side can find one goal.
There is only a small head-to-head warning sign for this pick because the reverse league meeting finished 1-0 to Vitória SC in November. Still, this Vitória SC side are much easier to score against than that result suggests, as shown again in the 0-3 defeat at Benfica on 21 March when they allowed 2.3 xGA and six big chances.
My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 2.00. Vitória SC have gone seven league matches without a clean sheet, five of their last seven league games have seen both teams score, and they have conceded first in five of their last six. The xG projection of 1.3 to 1.2 also points toward both sides creating enough for at least one goal each.
