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Wexford head into this First Division meeting with a mix of resilience and risk in their recent home numbers. They have scored in five of their last six league matches, but they have also conceded in six straight, so clean sheets have not been part of the picture. At home, their record is modest, with five goals scored and seven conceded from three league games, which points more toward open football than control.
Bray arrive in stronger overall form, sitting second in the table with four wins from their first seven. Even so, their away record is not overwhelming: one win, one draw and one loss, with only two goals scored on the road so far. That leaves them competitive but not especially convincing away from home, especially against a side that has been difficult to shut out.
The scoring profiles on both sides lean toward both teams finding the net. Wexford have gone through five of their last six league games with Both Teams To Score landing, while Bray have seen that outcome in four of their last five. The recent head-to-head history also fits that pattern, with Wexford failing to keep a clean sheet in four straight meetings against Bray. A projected 2-1 scoreline is plausible, though it does assume Wexford edge a game that could easily stay tight.
There is also a small tension in the numbers because Bray’s defensive record is better than Wexford’s and their away xG allowance has been decent. But Wexford’s home attack has been busy enough, and Bray’s away scoring output is still only two goals across three league trips. That balance still leaves room for the hosts to come through if they can turn their recent attacking chances into another positive result.
My prediction is Home Win at 135/100. Wexford have just ended a short winless spell with a 3-2 home victory over Treaty United, and they have scored in five of their last six league games. Bray’s away return is only one win from three, with just two away goals scored in the league. Wexford have also managed to make their home games competitive, even if their defence has left them exposed.