Woking have the stronger case for a home result on Tuesday evening because their home record is solid while Altrincham’s away return is one of the weakest in the division. Woking have taken 25 points from 18 home league matches, losing only five times there, while Altrincham have collected just 13 points from 20 away games and have been beaten in 13 of them. The overall table also leans Woking’s way, with Neal Ardley’s side 11th on 53 points compared with Altrincham in 15th on 47.

Recent form is good enough for Woking to be trusted for a win rather than just to avoid defeat. They have three wins, two draws and one loss from their last six league matches, including home victories over Aldershot Town and Yeovil Town. Altrincham’s recent sequence is less convincing, with three wins but also three defeats in their last six, and two of those losses came away from home against Scunthorpe United and Solihull Moors.

There is also a recent head-to-head edge for Woking. They won 3-1 away at Altrincham in October 2025, and they also beat them 2-1 in this fixture in December 2024. That does not guarantee another home success, but it does show Woking have handled this opponent well in the more recent meetings.

The projection still points toward the hosts even if it is not a one-sided matchup. Woking are forecast at 1.8 xG to Altrincham’s 1.1, which supports a home win but also hints that the visitors can be competitive, in line with the 2-1 correct-score call rather than a comfortable margin. Woking also tend to start games well, having scored first in four of their last five according to the market streaks.

My prediction is Home Win at 1.91. Woking’s home record of 6 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses is clearly stronger than Altrincham’s away record of 3 wins, 4 draws and 13 losses, Woking are six points higher in the table, and the xG projection favours them at 1.8 to 1.1. Recent meetings also help, with Woking winning the last two head-to-heads.