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Al Faisaly come into this Division 1 meeting in strong home form and with enough attacking consistency to justify confidence in a home win. They are fourth overall, have taken 49 points from 26 matches, and their home record shows five wins, five draws and only three defeats, which is a solid base for protecting their own ground. More importantly for this market, they have avoided defeat in their last seven league games and have lost only once in their most recent seven home-and-away fixtures.
Their recent results also point in the right direction for a victory rather than a cagey stalemate. Al Faisaly have scored in all but one of their last six league matches, including the 6-1 win at Al Adalah and the 4-1 home win over Al Anwar, so they arrive with a clear edge in chance creation. The 2-2 draw with Al Diriyah showed they can be caught open at times, but the sheer volume of goals they score usually leaves them well placed to outscore weaker opposition.
Al Jubail’s away record makes the home side’s case even stronger. They are bottom of the away table with one point from 13 trips, no away wins, one draw and 12 defeats, and they have conceded 31 goals on the road. Their most recent outing was a 2-0 defeat at Abha, where they produced just 0.5 xG and failed to register a shot on target, which underlines how limited they have been away from home.
There is also a neat head-to-head angle in Al Faisaly’s favour, because they have not lost any of the last three meetings with Al Jubail and won the reverse fixture 1-0 in November 2025. That fits the broader picture of the division standings as well: Al Faisaly sit near the top, while Al Jubail remain stuck at the foot of the table and struggle badly whenever they travel. The only slight caution is that Al Faisaly’s defence is not completely watertight, so a tight scoreline is more plausible than a one-sided rout.
My prediction is Home Win at 33/100. Al Faisaly’s unbeaten run in the league, their reliable home record, and Al Jubail’s terrible away return all point the same way. The visitors have lost 12 of 13 away matches and were comfortably second best at Abha, while Al Faisaly have also gone three straight head-to-heads without defeat in this fixture.
