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Al Wehda come into this one after a narrow away defeat to Al Zulfi, but their home record is still respectable enough to keep them competitive here, with five wins and four draws from 13 at home and 22 goals scored and 22 conceded. Even so, the recent pattern has been uneven: three losses in their last six league games, and they have only one win in their last two.
Al Raed are better placed in the table and have taken four wins from their last six league matches, including a 3-1 home victory over Al Jabalin in their most recent outing. Their away record is less convincing than their overall standing suggests, though, with only three away wins and 17 goals scored in 12 road games, so this is not a straightforward away assignment.
The head-to-head record gives Al Raed a useful edge, with two wins in the last three meetings and a 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture in November 2025. Al Wehda have also gone nine straight meetings without a clean sheet against this opponent, which matters because they have been conceding regularly enough at home to keep the visitors in the game.
There is a small tension around the projected scoreline because Al Wehda’s home numbers do not point to a one-sided contest, and their home draw rate is decent. Still, Al Raed’s stronger league position, better recent form, and ability to score away from home give them the clearer path to three points, especially against a side that has lost three of its last six.
My prediction is Away Win at 29/20. Al Raed have won four of their last six league matches, they beat Al Wehda 2-1 in the reverse fixture, and Al Wehda have lost three of their last six. The away side’s overall record is also stronger in the table, while Al Wehda’s home defensive balance of 22 scored and 22 conceded leaves room for the visitors to nick it again.
