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ENPPI come into this cup tie with three wins, one draw and one loss across their last five league and cup outings, but the clean-sheet trend is the bigger concern for anyone leaning toward the home side. They have scored in each of their last three, yet two 0-0s earlier in February and a recent 1-0 win over Zamalek show a pattern of tight margins rather than sustained attacking control. Against a Pyramids side that have just played in a knockout tie and have kept their own recent games fairly controlled, the away win angle needs a low-scoring, efficient performance.
Pyramids FC have won three of their last five in domestic and continental action, with the only defeat in that spell coming against AS FAR Rabat. Their away record in that run is especially relevant here: a 2-0 cup win at Petrojet, a 1-0 league win at National Bank of Egypt, and a 3-1 success at Haras El Hodoud. That points to a side comfortable managing cup and away fixtures without needing to be expansive, which suits a narrow victory more than a high-tempo game.
The head-to-head record also leans Pyramids’ way, with four wins in the last eight meetings and no defeat in six straight against ENPPI. Importantly for an away win angle, Pyramids have scored first in five of the last six meetings, and they edged ENPPI 2-1 in February. ENPPI’s home win over Zamalek was encouraging, but it came with modest xG and a match that was far tighter than the scoreline suggests, so it does not fully weaken the case for the visitors.
There is a little tension with the projected 1-2 scoreline because both teams have recently produced some low-scoring matches, and ENPPI’s home games can turn into narrow, cautious contests. Even so, Pyramids have shown the stronger away results, while ENPPI have not put together a long unbeaten run and have already lost at home to Pyramids this season. In a cup fixture where one moment can decide it, the visitors look the more reliable side to carry that edge.
My prediction is Away Win at 6/5. Pyramids have already beaten ENPPI 2-1 this season and have won four of the last eight head-to-head meetings. They have also won three of their last four away matches in all competitions, including a 2-0 cup win at Petrojet and a 1-0 league win at National Bank of Egypt. ENPPI’s recent home win over Zamalek was narrow, and their earlier run included two draws and a loss, which leaves enough doubt about their ability to hold firm for 90 minutes.
