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Fath Union Sport have found a bit of rhythm at home and away, with two wins from their last three league outings and only one defeat in their last four. Even so, they have conceded in five of their last six and their home record remains modest at eight points from six matches, which is not ideal for a clean-sheet angle. Wydad Casablanca arrive with stronger numbers overall, but their recent league run has included a 4-3 win and a 1-2 defeat, so they are not always controlled when the game opens up.
That said, the profile here still leans against both teams scoring. Fath have gone without a clean sheet in 10 straight matches in the league, yet Wydad have kept four clean sheets in their last six overall and have the best away record in the division, with five wins and a draw from six and only seven goals conceded. In this fixture, Wydad have also avoided defeat in the last three meetings, and six of the last eight head-to-heads finished with fewer than 2.5 goals, so there is a decent historical base for one side to shut the other out even if the current xG projection is not especially low.
Fath do have enough recent attacking moments to make this a little less straightforward, especially after scoring three away at Union Sportive Yacoub El Mansour and three at home to Renaissance Zemamra. Wydad’s last two league matches have also both featured goals at either end, while the 1.0 to 1.4 xG split here points to a competitive contest rather than a one-way shutout. Still, the away side’s defensive record and the way this matchup has often stayed tight matter more for the market than Fath’s occasional scoring bursts.
My prediction is BTTS - No at 73/100. Wydad’s away record is built on five wins and a draw from six, with only seven goals conceded on the road, and they have kept four clean sheets in their last six overall. Fath have gone 10 league matches without a clean sheet, but that does not automatically force both teams to score if Wydad control the game. The head-to-head trend also helps, with six of the last eight meetings landing under 2.5 goals, which leaves room for a Wydad clean sheet even if the scoreline stays close.
This looks more like a narrow away result with one side doing enough at the back than a game where both attacks trade goals. Wydad’s stronger away numbers, Fath’s modest home record, and the recent meeting pattern all point that way, even if the 1-1 correct-score idea remains a live alternative.
