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FC Versailles come into this one with mixed home form rather than a strong case for taking them on, having won six, drawn two and lost four at home in the league. Even so, Sochaux have the clearer away profile for a match result bet: seven away wins, only three away draws and three away defeats, plus 22 goals scored and just 12 conceded on the road.
The recent form lines also point towards the visitors. Versailles have lost their last match and are winless in two, while Sochaux have won five of their last six league games and are unbeaten in ten overall. That kind of run is hard to ignore when the market is asking for an away win, especially with Sochaux’s habit of getting the first goal in five straight league matches.
There is some tension with the head-to-head record, though, because Sochaux have not lost any of the last five league meetings with Versailles and won the reverse fixture 2-0 in October 2025. The broader scoring pattern in those meetings has often been tight, so this is not a fixture that usually turns into a comfortable open game for the away side.
The xG numbers lean the same way as the table. Versailles’ defeat at Dijon came with only 0.96 xG and 4 shots, while Sochaux’s 2-0 win over Quevilly produced 1.94 xG and 10 shots on target. Across the season, Sochaux’s 43-17 goal record is much stronger than Versailles’ 34-28, and the projected 1.1 to 1.4 xG split still leaves the away side with the edge.
My prediction is Away Win at 6/4. Sochaux are unbeaten in their last ten league matches, have won five of their last six, and have taken seven away wins already this season. Versailles have just one win in their last three, and their home record is solid rather than dominant, which fits an away victory more than a home response.
