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Grêmio Novorizontino come into this Serie B meeting with a cautious profile at home, having taken just one point from their first two league games and scoring only once in those matches. Their most recent outing finished 0-0 away to Juventude, with just 0.27 xG and no shots on target, which fits a side that has struggled to create clear chances. Across their last six in all competitions, they have seen three games end level and have not been involved in many open, end-to-end contests.
CRB have also been inconsistent in attack, and their recent league away record points in the same direction. They drew 2-2 at Vila Nova in their only away league match so far, but their latest game brought a 1-0 home loss to Avaí despite 1.6 xG, which suggests the finishing was not there. Across their last six, they have had only two clean sheets, and their away numbers in Serie B show two goals scored and two conceded from one trip.
That balance of limited attacking output and a decent chance of one side keeping things tight is why BTTS No deserves attention here. Novorizontino’s last home league game ended 1-3, but their most recent match was a sterile 0-0, and they have not yet shown enough fluency to guarantee a response if CRB land the first blow. CRB’s recent away draw with Vila Nova is the main tension against the pick, yet that was still only one match with both teams scoring, not a strong enough trend to outweigh the more conservative overall profile.
Head-to-head numbers lean a little in the same direction as well. Novorizontino beat CRB 3-0 in November 2025, and this fixture has produced several one-sided scorelines in recent seasons, including two clean-sheet wins for one side. With CRB having gone four matches without a win and Novorizontino on a three-game run without victory, neither attack arrives with much momentum.
My prediction is BTTS - No at 83/100. Novorizontino have managed just one league goal so far and drew a blank in their latest match, while CRB’s away league output is still only two goals in one game. Novorizontino’s home league record has already included a 1-3 loss, but their overall recent pattern still features plenty of low-scoring matches, and CRB have also had five of their last seven finish under 2.5 goals.
