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Pogoń Szczecin come in with mixed league form, having won four of their last six but losing their most recent outing 2-1 at Lechia Gdańsk. That defeat was open enough to produce chances at both ends, with Pogoń posting 1.53 xG and conceding 2.68 xGA, while their earlier home wins over Korona Kielce and Widzew Łódź were tighter by comparison.
Legia Warszawa are unbeaten in seven league matches, but that run has been built more on draws than on control, with four stalemates in their last six. Their latest two games both finished 1-1, and even in the 1-1 draw with Raków they generated only 0.92 xG, which points to a side that can stay in games without always dominating them.
The home and away splits also lean towards both teams finding a goal. Pogoń’s home record is strong, with eight wins, two draws and only three losses, while Legia’s away record is modest at one win, seven draws and five defeats. Legia have also scored in seven of their last eight league matches, and Pogoń have gone without a clean sheet in three straight against them, which fits the scoring pattern here.
That said, the projected 1-1 scoreline is not the kind of high-tempo script that makes BTTS certain on its own. It does, however, match the broader picture: Pogoń have scored in five of their last six league matches, Legia have found the net regularly away from home, and both sides have recent 1-1 draws on the board.
My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 8/13. Pogoń have gone without a clean sheet in three straight meetings with Legia, Legia have scored in seven of their last eight league games, and their last two league matches both finished 1-1. Pogoń’s recent home record is strong enough to keep them in the game, but Legia’s away draw habit still leaves room for each side to get on the scoresheet.
