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Sampdoria come into this one with a mixed run of one win, two draws and three losses from their last six, while Empoli have been harder to beat in the same span with one win, three draws and two losses. That recent profile fits a double chance angle for the visitors more than a home win angle, especially with Sampdoria winning only one of their last six and Empoli avoiding defeat in three of their last four.
At home, Sampdoria have been solid enough with seven wins, five draws and four losses, but their league return is still only 34 points and they have scored 31 while conceding 43 overall. Empoli sit just above them in the table and have the better season scoring record, with 43 goals scored, which is useful insurance for an X2 pick even if they have been less convincing away from home than at home.
The away numbers do leave a little room for caution, because Empoli have won only four of their 15 away matches and have lost nine, so this is not a clean road record. Even so, Sampdoria’s home edge has not translated into dominant results, and the most recent head-to-head finished 1-1, which fits a visitor avoidance-of-defeat bet more than a straight home selection.
My prediction is X2 at 53/100. Empoli are unbeaten in three against Sampdoria, they have avoided defeat in three of their last four league matches, and Sampdoria have taken just one win from their last six. The projected 1-1 scoreline also keeps the draw firmly in play, which is exactly what a double chance on the visitors can cover.
X2 looks the right call at 53/100 because Empoli have the more reliable recent form, Sampdoria have been inconsistent across their last six, and the latest meeting ended level. The slight concern is Empoli’s away record, but Sampdoria’s own lack of momentum keeps the away-or-draw option in range.
