Sporting arrive with the clearest case for both teams scoring because their recent matches have been open at both ends. Five of their last five have gone over 2.5 goals, and they have scored at least twice in four of their last six overall. The xG projection also points that way, with Sporting at 1.5 and Arsenal at 1.7, which is enough to support a goal for each side rather than a one-sided script.
Arsenal are the main counterpoint because four of their last five have stayed under 2.5 goals, and they kept clean sheets against Bayer 04 Leverkusen and Everton in March. Even so, they are not arriving on a fully secure defensive run after losing 2-1 to Southampton on 4 April, and they have gone two matches without a win. For this market, the important part is that Arsenal still carry enough threat to score once even when the game does not become a high total.
Sporting’s 4-2 home win over Santa Clara on Friday is a useful recent pointer for BTTS. They created plenty with 22 shots, eight on target and five big chances, but they still conceded twice despite allowing only seven shots and an xGA of 0.65. That mix suits this market: strong attacking output, but not a reliable clean-sheet profile.
The head-to-head sample also leans in the same direction, with both teams failing to keep a clean sheet in three straight meetings. Sporting and Arsenal drew 2-2 in March 2023, Sporting won 6-4 away later that month, and Arsenal won 5-1 in November 2024. A projected 1-1 score is slightly tighter than those games, but it still fits the same BTTS path.
My prediction is Both Teams To Score at 1.80. Sporting have been involved in goals-heavy matches lately, with over 2.5 landing in five straight games, their latest home match ended 4-2, and the xG line of 1.5 to 1.7 gives both sides a solid route to score. Arsenal’s recent under trend makes this less certain than a pure shootout call, but it does not rule out one goal each.
