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SSV Jahn Regensburg come into this one with goals in their recent league matches, scoring in five of their last six and finding the net seven times across the last three alone. Their home record also leans toward open games, with 25 scored and 22 conceded in 15 league matches at Jahnstadion, which points toward chances at both ends rather than a tight contest.
Erzgebirge Aue are an even stronger argument for goals, because their league form is built on repeated high-scoring defeats: they have lost six straight in the division and each of those games has gone over 2.5 goals. Away from home they have already conceded 30 times in 15 league outings, and their last trip ended in a 2-1 loss at Waldhof Mannheim, so they rarely keep things under control for long.
The head-to-head also fits a scoring angle. The reverse fixture finished 4-3 to Aue in November 2025, and while the 2024 meeting in Regensburg ended 0-0, the other recent meetings have generally been more open than not. Regensburg’s own recent home and away results also point to a match with enough attacking action to clear a low totals line.
There is a small note of caution from the market history, because five of the last seven head-to-heads were under 2.5 goals. Even so, the current form is far more important here: Aue have been involved in nine straight league games going over 2.5 goals, while Regensburg’s recent matches have also produced regular scoring, including a 5-2 win over Havelse and a 1-3 defeat at Stuttgart II.
My prediction is Over 2.5 Goals at 13/20. Aue have seen more than 2.5 goals in nine straight league matches, Regensburg have scored in five of their last six, and both teams have shaky defensive records in the table. Regensburg’s home games average 47 goals across 15 matches combined, while Aue’s away fixtures average a similarly lively 45. The projected 2-1 scoreline still sits comfortably above the line.
